Coco Gauff vs Madison KeysDubai Quarter-final

Dubai · WTA · Quarter-final
#4WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$2.9MYTD
$33MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 February 2023
hard
#23WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Gauff C.
6-2 7-5
Keys M.
Gauff C.
672
Keys M.
250

Coco Gauff defeated Madison Keys 6-2 7-5 in the Dubai quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Coco Gauff came in ranked #4, defending last year's round of 32. Coco Gauff narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Coco Gauff closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–5.

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayCoco Gauff6-7(6) 6-4 6-1
2024-04-22MadridR16clayMadison Keys7-6(4) 4-6 6-4
2023-06-26EastbourneSFgrassMadison Keys6-3 6-3
2022-08-29US OpenR32hardCoco Gauff6-2 6-3
2022-01-10Adelaide 2SFhardMadison Keys3-6 6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Gauff C.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gauff C.

Serve advantage — Gauff C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gauff C.Keys M.
25
Serve
36
100
Return
29

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
60%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
99
94
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Slight edge
100
90
Deciding sets·Even
100
97
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+115 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1920
6.6Overall Elo 2071
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1987
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.5
Surface form
6.8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
65
84

Gauff C.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Keys M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw