Madison Keys vs Hailey Baptiste — Roland Garros Round of 16

Roland Garros · WTA · Round of 16
Madison Keys
USA19
Madison Keys
#22WTA
1987ELO
1894Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 May 2025
clay
Hailey Baptiste
USA26
Hailey Baptiste
#30WTA
1844ELO
1771Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$3.6MCAREER
24 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
Keys M.
6-3 7-5
Baptiste H.
Keys M.
672
Baptiste H.
350

Madison Keys defeated Hailey Baptiste 6-3 7-5 in the Roland Garros round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 32. Madison Keys extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Madison Keys closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

2–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-06Indian WellsR64hardMadison Keys6-4 4-6 7-6(4)
2023-04-03CharlestonR32clayMadison Keys6-1 6-2
2019-07-29WashingtonR32hardHailey Baptiste7-6(4) 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Baptiste H.

Baptiste H.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Keys M.Baptiste H.
—
Serve
82
—
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Keys M.Baptiste H.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Even
4.2
4.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (66 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Keys M.Baptiste H.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
94
83
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Slight edge
90
79
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Keys M.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Baptiste H.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+123 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Clay Elo 1771
6.4Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1844
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.7
Surface form
6.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.9
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.1
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Keys M.Baptiste H.
Freshness·
82
—

Keys M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw

Final
Gauff C.[4]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-756-26-4
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Swiatek I.[3]
7-614-66-0
Gauff C.[4]
Boisson L.
6-16-2
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Keys M.[19]
6-766-46-1
Swiatek I.[3]
Svitolina E.[7]
6-17-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zheng Q.[8]
7-636-3
Boisson L.
Andreeva M.[8]
7-666-3
R16
Andreeva M.[8]
Kasatkina D.[17]
6-37-5
Zheng Q.[8]
Samsonova L.[20]
7-651-66-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Rybakina E.[2]
1-66-37-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Anisimova A.[6]
7-56-3
Boisson L.
Pegula J.[5]
3-66-46-4
Svitolina E.[7]
Paolini J.[13]
4-67-666-1
Gauff C.[4]
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-07-5
Keys M.[19]
Baptiste H.[26]
6-37-5
R32
Keys M.[19]
Kenin S.[31]
4-66-37-5
Svitolina E.[7]
Pera B.
7-647-65
Gauff C.[4]
Bouzkova M.[27]
6-17-63
Anisimova A.[6]
Tauson C.[21]
7-646-4
Alexandrova E.[14]
Kudermetova V.
6-26-2
Baptiste H.[26]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
7-646-1
Samsonova L.[20]
Yastremska D.
6-26-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Danilovic O.
6-26-3
Kasatkina D.[17]
Badosa P.[10]
6-17-5
Boisson L.
Jacquemot E.
6-30-67-5
Paolini J.[13]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-46-1
Rybakina E.[2]
Ostapenko J.[29]
6-26-2
Pegula J.[5]
Vondrousova M.
3-66-46-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Putintseva Y.[32]
6-36-1
Zheng Q.[8]
Mboko V.[9]
6-36-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Cristian J.
6-27-5
R64
Tauson C.[21]
Rus A.
7-627-5
Bouzkova M.[27]
Kartal S.
6-16-4
Andreeva M.[8]
Krueger A.
6-36-4
Badosa P.[10]
Ruse E.
3-66-46-4
Boisson L.
Kalinina A.
6-16-2
Zheng Q.[8]
Arango E.
6-26-3
Ostapenko J.[29]
Dolehide C.
5-76-36-3
Cristian J.
Bejlek S.
1-66-36-3
Kudermetova V.
Krejcikova B.[15]
6-06-3
Paolini J.[13]
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-3
Jacquemot E.
Parks A.
6-26-746-1
Pera B.
Vekic D.[18]
6-24-67-63
Kasatkina D.[17]
Jeanjean L.
6-46-2
Rybakina E.[2]
Jovic I.[17]
6-36-3
Putintseva Y.[32]
Garland J.
7-656-3
Kenin S.[31]
Azarenka V.
7-656-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Montgomery R.
6-44-67-5
Vondrousova M.
Frech M.[25]
6-04-66-3
Danilovic O.
Collins D.
6-43-66-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Potapova A.[28]
7-646-2
Samsonova L.[20]
Romero Gormaz L.
6-36-3
Pegula J.[5]
Li A.[30]
6-37-63
Swiatek I.[3]
Raducanu E.
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Teichmann J.
6-36-1
Mboko V.[9]
Lys E.
6-46-4
Baptiste H.[26]
Hibino N.
6-36-2
Alexandrova E.[14]
Cocciaretto E.
6-16-3
Yastremska D.
Shnaider D.[25]
7-57-5
Svitolina E.[7]
Bondar A.
7-647-5
Gauff C.[4]
Valentova T.
6-26-4
Keys M.[19]
Boulter K.
6-16-3
Anisimova A.[6]
Golubic V.
6-06-2
R128
Cristian J.
Birrell K.
6-16-0
Kartal S.
Andreeva E.
6-06-2
Frech M.[25]
Jabeur O.
7-646-0
Kudermetova V.
Tomova V.
7-56-1
Krejcikova B.[15]
Maria T.
7-646-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Navarro E.[9]
6-06-1
Vondrousova M.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-46-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Korpatsch T.
2-66-16-4
Zheng Q.[8]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-46-3
Arango E.
Eala A.
6-02-66-3
Mboko V.[9]
Sun L.[5]
6-17-64
Yastremska D.
Aiava D.
7-56-1
Anisimova A.[6]
Stojanovic N.
6-34-1
Golubic V.
Kvitova P.
3-66-06-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Riera J.
6-14-66-4
Paolini J.[13]
Yuan Y.[10]
6-14-66-3
Valentova T.
Paquet C.
4-66-37-5
Parks A.
Muchova K.[10]
6-32-66-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rakhimova K.
6-16-0
Romero Gormaz L.
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
7-636-2
Garland J.
Volynets K.
6-33-66-4
Montgomery R.
Parry D.
6-26-1
Keys M.[19]
Saville D.
6-26-1
Ruse E.
Kessler M.
7-57-63
Potapova A.[28]
Noskova L.[12]
5-76-17-5
Cocciaretto E.
Townsend T.
6-36-2
Lys E.
Stearns P.[28]
6-06-3
Pegula J.[5]
Todoni A.
6-26-4
Samsonova L.[20]
Sherif M.
7-636-2
Krueger A.
Lamens S.[17]
6-36-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Sramkova R.
6-36-3
Gauff C.[4]
Gadecki O.
6-26-2
Boulter K.
Monnet C.
6-746-16-1
Ostapenko J.[29]
Kudermetova P.[16]
5-76-06-2
Azarenka V.
Wickmayer Y.
6-06-0
Collins D.
Burrage J.
7-616-4
Tomljanovic A.
Joint M.
6-16-3
Kalinina A.
Avanesyan E.
6-16-2
Kasatkina D.[17]
Siniakova K.
6-13-66-2
Hibino N.
Uchijima M.
6-17-5
Kenin S.[31]
Gracheva V.
6-36-1
Badosa P.[10]
Osaka N.[16]
6-716-16-4
Bouzkova M.[27]
Kalinskaya A.[22]
6-47-5
Dolehide C.
Minnen G.
3-66-36-4
Raducanu E.
Wang X.
7-54-66-3
Tauson C.[21]
Linette M.
6-44-66-1
Jacquemot E.
Sakkari M.
6-37-64
Jeanjean L.
Begu I.
0-67-53-0
Putintseva Y.[32]
Sierra S.
7-646-2
Pera B.
Garcia C.
6-46-4
Vekic D.[18]
Blinkova A.
7-56-746-1
Rus A.
Osorio C.
4-66-26-4
Teichmann J.
Stefanini L.
6-46-4
Bondar A.
Siegemund L.
7-626-3
Baptiste H.[26]
Haddad Maia B.[23]
4-66-36-1
Li A.[30]
Carle M.
6-46-0
Shnaider D.[25]
Soboleva A.
7-636-2
Jovic I.[17]
Zarazua R.
6-35-76-4
Boisson L.
Mertens E.[23]
6-44-66-3
Alexandrova E.[14]
Bronzetti L.
6-36-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Bucsa C.[31]
6-46-3
Bejlek S.
Kostyuk M.[15]
6-36-1
Svitolina E.[7]
Sonmez Z.
6-16-1
Danilovic O.
Fernandez L.[24]
6-36-1