Hailey Baptiste vs Madison KeysWashington Round of 32

Washington · WTA · Round of 32
#33WTA
1844ELO
1781Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$3.6MCAREER
24 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2019
hard
#23WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Baptiste H.
7-6 6-2
Keys M.
Baptiste H.
7762
Keys M.
6420

Hailey Baptiste defeated Madison Keys 7-6 6-2 in the Washington round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Hailey Baptiste claimed a first win over Madison Keys in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR16clayMadison Keys6-3 7-5
2024-03-06Indian WellsR64hardMadison Keys6-4 4-6 7-6(4)
2023-04-03CharlestonR32clayMadison Keys6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Baptiste H.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Baptiste H.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Baptiste H.Keys M.
40
Serve
36
18
Return
29

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Even
4.4
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
83
94
Break points saved·Even
93
96
Break points won·Slight edge
79
90
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Keys M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 45%