Madison Keys vs Hailey Baptiste — Indian Wells Round of 64

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
Madison Keys
USA18
Madison Keys
#22WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 6 March 2024
hard
Hailey Baptiste
USA
Hailey Baptiste
#30WTA
1844ELO
1781Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$3.6MCAREER
24 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
Keys M.
6-4 4-6 7-6
Baptiste H.
Keys M.
64772
Baptiste H.
46641

Madison Keys defeated Hailey Baptiste 6-4 4-6 7-6 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 64. Madison Keys extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

2–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR16clayMadison Keys6-3 7-5
2023-04-03CharlestonR32clayMadison Keys6-1 6-2
2019-07-29WashingtonR32hardHailey Baptiste7-6(4) 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Baptiste H.

Baptiste H.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Keys M.Baptiste H.
36
Serve
40
29
Return
18

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Keys M.Baptiste H.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
4.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (105 vs 129). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Keys M.Baptiste H.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
94
83
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Slight edge
90
79
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Keys M.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 135 days (−1.5)
Baptiste H.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+140 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1781
6.4Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1844
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.1
Surface form
7.5
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Country comfort
5.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Keys M.Baptiste H.
Freshness·
77
—

Keys M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 17%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[1]
Sakkari M.[9]
6-46-0
Semi-finals
Sakkari M.[9]
Gauff C.[3]
6-46-756-2
Swiatek I.[1]
Kostyuk M.[31]
6-26-1
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[3]
Yuan Y.
6-46-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Wozniacki C.
6-41-0
Kostyuk M.[31]
Potapova A.[28]
6-07-5
Sakkari M.[9]
Navarro E.[23]
5-76-26-4
R16
Potapova A.[28]
Paolini J.[13]
7-50-66-3
Yuan Y.
Kasatkina D.[11]
4-66-46-3
Gauff C.[3]
Mertens E.[24]
6-06-2
Sakkari M.[9]
Parry D.
6-23-66-3
Navarro E.[23]
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-33-66-2
Wozniacki C.
Kerber A.
6-46-2
Kostyuk M.[31]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[22]
6-46-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Putintseva Y.
6-16-2
R32
Mertens E.[24]
Osaka N.
7-56-4
Kostyuk M.[31]
Vondrousova M.[7]
W/O
Sabalenka A.[2]
Raducanu E.
6-37-5
Kasatkina D.[11]
Stephens S.
2-66-46-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Noskova L.[26]
6-46-0
Wozniacki C.
Volynets K.
6-24-66-0
Potapova A.[28]
Podoroska N.
6-16-1
Paolini J.[13]
Kalinskaya A.[21]
6-33-66-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.[22]
Haddad Maia B.[12]
2-66-46-3
Yuan Y.
Dolehide C.
1-66-47-62
Gauff C.[3]
Bronzetti L.
6-27-65
Parry D.
Blinkova A.
6-46-3
Navarro E.[23]
Svitolina E.[16]
6-14-66-3
Kerber A.
Kudermetova V.[17]
6-47-5
Sakkari M.[9]
Garcia C.[20]
6-36-4
Putintseva Y.
Keys M.[18]
6-46-1
R64
Swiatek I.[1]
Collins D.
6-36-0
Svitolina E.[16]
Siniakova K.
6-32-66-1
Paolini J.[13]
Maria T.
6-36-3
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Sramkova R.
7-56-2
Raducanu E.
Yastremska D.[30]
4-0
Kostyuk M.[31]
Hontama M.
6-46-2
Parry D.
Fernandez L.[29]
7-55-76-2
Wozniacki C.
Vekic D.[25]
7-656-3
Potapova A.[28]
Bouzkova M.
7-56-1
Bronzetti L.
Kalinina A.[32]
6-36-4
Kerber A.
Ostapenko J.[10]
5-76-36-3
Volynets K.
Jabeur O.[6]
6-46-4
Keys M.[18]
Baptiste H.
6-44-67-64
Podoroska N.
Day K.
7-636-4
Kalinskaya A.[21]
Townsend T.
7-53-66-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.[22]
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-36-1
Vondrousova M.[7]
Pera B.
6-06-2
Dolehide C.
Azarenka V.[27]
7-52-66-3
Stephens S.
Cirstea S.[19]
6-07-5
Kasatkina D.[11]
Dodin O.
6-37-65
Mertens E.[24]
Wang X.
6-16-4
Gauff C.[3]
Burel C.
2-66-37-64
Garcia C.[20]
Tomova V.
6-13-66-3
Sabalenka A.[2]
Stearns P.
6-726-27-66
Navarro E.[23]
Tsurenko L.
4-67-57-5
Noskova L.[26]
Giorgi C.
6-37-5
Yuan Y.
Zheng Q.[8]
6-46-3
Putintseva Y.
Alexandrova E.[15]
7-56-1
Kudermetova V.[17]
Hibino N.
6-17-5
Osaka N.
Samsonova L.[14]
7-56-3
Blinkova A.
Pegula J.[5]
6-23-66-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Shnaider D.
5-76-46-0
R128
Volynets K.
Andreeva M.
7-57-5
Sramkova R.
Wang Y.
6-46-0
Burel C.
Wang X.
4-66-26-4
Parry D.
Trevisan M.
7-56-3
Collins D.
Andreeva E.
7-637-66
Giorgi C.
Boulter K.
6-36-2
Putintseva Y.
Korpatsch T.
6-26-3
Kerber A.
Martic P.
6-36-4
Hibino N.
Williams V.
2-66-36-0
Wozniacki C.
Zhu L.
7-666-1
Podoroska N.
Krueger A.
3-66-36-3
Bouzkova M.
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-16-1
Maria T.
Rus A.
7-656-2
Parrizas Diaz N.
Kessler M.
6-37-63
Hontama M.
Zhang S.
5-76-26-0
Dolehide C.
Bucsa C.
6-26-0
Stephens S.
Sherif M.
7-56-3
Dodin O.
Avanesyan E.
1-66-37-64
Bronzetti L.
Frech M.
6-26-4
Shnaider D.
Bogdan A.
5-77-666-3
Siniakova K.
Minnen G.
7-57-63
Raducanu E.
Masarova R.
6-26-3
Stearns P.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-2
Wang X.
Schmiedlova A.
6-06-4
Pera B.
Saville D.
7-54-67-65
Osaka N.
Errani S.
6-36-1
Tomova V.
Kenin S.
6-47-65
Blinkova A.
Pliskova K.
6-12-66-4
Baptiste H.
Montgomery R.
6-24-66-1
Townsend T.
Linette M.
3-67-636-1
Yuan Y.
Gracheva V.
6-46-1
Tsurenko L.
Hovde L.
6-36-1