Tommy Paul vs Hubert HurkaczRome Masters Quarter-final

Rome Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#25ATP
1949ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 7 May 2025
clay
#96ATP
1798ELO
1762Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
Paul T.
7-6 6-3
Hurkacz H.
Paul T.
7762
Hurkacz H.
6430

Tommy Paul defeated Hubert Hurkacz 7-6 6-3 in the Rome Masters quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, defending last year's semi-final. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-03WimbledonR32grassHubert Hurkacz4-6 7.7-6.5 7-5 6-2
2024-05-06Rome MastersQFclayTommy Paul7-5 3-6 6-3
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersR32hardTommy Paul4-6 6-2 6-4
2021-11-01Paris MastersR32hardHubert Hurkacz7-5 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Hurkacz H.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Paul T.Hurkacz H.
34
Serve
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.4
11.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (66 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
78
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
87
40
Deciding sets·Even
98
94
Tiebreaks·Even
96
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+123 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Clay Elo 1762
6.4Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1798
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.7
Surface form
6.8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
9.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
72

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Hurkacz H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 75%