Anastasia Potapova vs Dayana YastremskaRome Round of 128

Rome · WTA · Round of 128
#28WTA
1904ELO
1882Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 6 May 2025
clay
#67WTA
1792ELO
1731Clay ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Potapova A.
2-6 7-6 6-3
Yastremska D.
Potapova A.
27862
Yastremska D.
66631

Anastasia Potapova defeated Dayana Yastremska 2-6 7-6 6-3 in the Rome round of 128 on clay. The result followed the form book — Anastasia Potapova came in ranked #28, defending last year's round of 64. Anastasia Potapova extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-17DubaiR32hardDayana Yastremska6-2 6-3
2024-12-30BrisbaneR32hardAnastasia Potapova7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Potapova A.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Yastremska D.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Potapova A.Yastremska D.
Serve
10
Return
24

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.4
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
81
77
Break points saved·Even
89
89
Break points won·Even
88
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
63
Tiebreaks·Dominant
57
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+151 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Clay Elo 1731
6.1Overall Elo 1904
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1792
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
5.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.4
Minutes 14d
7.1
4.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
99
92

Potapova A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Yastremska D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°CRain
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw