Dayana Yastremska vs Anastasia PotapovaDubai Round of 32

Dubai · WTA · Round of 32
#67WTA
1792ELO
1733Hard ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
hard
#28WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
Yastremska D.
6-2 6-3
Potapova A.
Yastremska D.
662
Potapova A.
230

Dayana Yastremska defeated Anastasia Potapova 6-2 6-3 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Anastasia Potapova came in ranked #28, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 16. Dayana Yastremska claimed a first win over Anastasia Potapova in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-06RomeR128clayAnastasia Potapova2-6 7-6(6) 6-3
2024-12-30BrisbaneR32hardAnastasia Potapova7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Yastremska D.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Potapova A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Yastremska D.Potapova A.
11
Serve
11
25
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
2.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.0
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 62). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
77
81
Break points saved·Even
89
89
Break points won·Even
92
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
63
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1733
Surface ELO
5.7+71 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1792
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1904
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.8
Surface form
5.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
98

Yastremska D.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Potapova A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw