Anastasia Potapova vs Dayana YastremskaBrisbane Round of 32

Brisbane · WTA · Round of 32
#28WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
#67WTA
1792ELO
1733Hard ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Potapova A.
7-5 6-4
Yastremska D.
Potapova A.
762
Yastremska D.
540

Anastasia Potapova defeated Dayana Yastremska 7-5 6-4 in the Brisbane round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Anastasia Potapova came in ranked #28. Anastasia Potapova extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-06RomeR128clayAnastasia Potapova2-6 7-6(6) 6-3
2025-02-17DubaiR32hardDayana Yastremska6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Potapova A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Yastremska D.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Potapova A.Yastremska D.
11
Serve
11
52
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
58%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
3.0
Double faults / match·Even
4.7
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (113 vs 121). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
81
77
Break points saved·Even
89
89
Break points won·Even
88
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
63
Tiebreaks·Dominant
57
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 84 days (−1.2)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+71 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1733
6.1Overall Elo 1904
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1792
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
2.1
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.7
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
90

Potapova A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Yastremska D.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw