Diana Shnaider vs Elise MertensRome Round of 16

Rome · WTA · Round of 16
#18WTA
1891ELO
1841Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$6.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 6 May 2025
clay
#24WTA
1894ELO
1811Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Shnaider D.
6-2 6-3
Mertens E.
Shnaider D.
662
Mertens E.
230

Diana Shnaider defeated Elise Mertens 6-2 6-3 in the Rome round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Diana Shnaider came in ranked #18, defending last year's round of 32. Diana Shnaider narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-18MonterreyQFhardDiana Shnaider3-6 7-6(6) 7-6(4)
2025-04-14StuttgartR16clayElise Mertens6-2 7-6(5)
2023-02-27MonterreyR32hardElise Mertens6-0 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Shnaider D.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Mertens E.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Shnaider D.

Serve advantage — Mertens E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Shnaider D.Mertens E.
6
Serve
29
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.5
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 68). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
80
Break points saved·Even
94
90
Break points won·Even
99
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
91
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
91
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+30 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Clay Elo 1811
4.7Overall Elo 1891
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1894
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.1
Surface form
5.8
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
7.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
84

Shnaider D.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mertens E.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°CRain
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw