Elise Mertens vs Diana ShnaiderStuttgart Round of 16

Stuttgart · WTA · Round of 16
#27WTA
1894ELO
1811Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 April 2025
clay
#15WTA
1891ELO
1841Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$6.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWW
Mertens E.
6-2 7-6
Shnaider D.
Mertens E.
6772
Shnaider D.
2650

Elise Mertens defeated Diana Shnaider 6-2 7-6 in the Stuttgart round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Diana Shnaider came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 32. Elise Mertens narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Elise Mertens closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–6.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-18MonterreyQFhardDiana Shnaider3-6 7-6(6) 7-6(4)
2025-05-06RomeR16clayDiana Shnaider6-2 6-3
2023-02-27MonterreyR32hardElise Mertens6-0 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Mertens E.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Shnaider D.

Shnaider D.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Serve advantage — Mertens E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Mertens E.Shnaider D.
Serve
4
Return
29

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
1.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (68 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
80
93
Break points saved·Even
90
94
Break points won·Even
96
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1811
Surface ELO
5.0+30 Clay Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1894
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1891
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
6.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
8.8
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
74
92

Mertens E.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Shnaider D.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 70%