Elise Mertens vs Diana ShnaiderMonterrey Round of 32

Monterrey · WTA · Round of 32
#24WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#18WTA
1891ELO
1833Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$6.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWW
Mertens E.
6-0 6-4
Shnaider D.
Mertens E.
662
Shnaider D.
040

Elise Mertens defeated Diana Shnaider 6-0 6-4 in the Monterrey round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Diana Shnaider came in ranked #18, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Elise Mertens narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-18MonterreyQFhardDiana Shnaider3-6 7-6(6) 7-6(4)
2025-05-06RomeR16clayDiana Shnaider6-2 6-3
2025-04-14StuttgartR16clayElise Mertens6-2 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Mertens E.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Shnaider D.

Shnaider D.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mertens E.Shnaider D.
51
Serve
41
54
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (172 vs 192). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
80
93
Break points saved·Even
90
94
Break points won·Even
96
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.3+15 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1833
5.3Overall Elo 1894
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1891
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.9
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
81
94

Mertens E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Shnaider D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 32%