
Jelena Ostapenko defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 6-1 in the Stuttgart final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Jelena Ostapenko claimed a first win over Aryna Sabalenka in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Wimbledon | R32 | grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome | QF | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-02-20 | Dubai | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 2-6 6-1 6-1 |
| 2019-09-09 | Zhengzhou | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-2 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Ostapenko J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About