Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex De MinaurBarcelona Quarter-final

Barcelona · ATP · Quarter-final
#3ATP
2162ELO
2102Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 April 2025
clay
#5ATP
1961ELO
1869Clay ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Alcaraz C.
7-5 6-3
De Minaur A.
Alcaraz C.
762
De Minaur A.
530

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Alex De Minaur 7-5 6-3 in the Barcelona quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 5–0. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 6–0.

Key context

Head to head

50
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenQFhardCarlos Alcaraz7-5 6-2 6-1
2025-11-09Tour FinalsRRhardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(5) 6-2
2025-02-03RotterdamFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 3-6 6-2
2023-06-19Queen's ClubFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4
2022-04-18BarcelonaSFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-7(4) 7-6(4) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Alcaraz C.De Minaur A.
Serve
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
57%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Even
67%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.7
4.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
98
95
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Even
99
97
Deciding sets·Even
100
97
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
9.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.2+232 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.8Clay Elo 1869
8.6Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1961
10.0
H2H
0.0
9.3
Surface form
7.6
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.4
Minutes 14d
6.2
0.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.2
Country comfort
5.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
83

De Minaur A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
18°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 72%