Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex De MinaurQueen's Club Final

Queen's Club · ATP · Final
#2ATP
2162ELO
2029Grass ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 June 2023
grass
#6ATP
1961ELO
1834Grass ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Alcaraz C.
6-4 6-4
De Minaur A.
Alcaraz C.
662
De Minaur A.
440

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Alex De Minaur 6-4 6-4 in the Queen's Club final on grass. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–0. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 6–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Carlos Alcaraz edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

50
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenQFhardCarlos Alcaraz7-5 6-2 6-1
2025-11-09Tour FinalsRRhardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(5) 6-2
2025-04-14BarcelonaQFclayCarlos Alcaraz7-5 6-3
2025-02-03RotterdamFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 3-6 6-2
2022-04-18BarcelonaSFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-7(4) 7-6(4) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
55%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Even
65%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.2
4.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
98
95
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Even
99
97
Deciding sets·Even
100
97
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.9+195 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Grass Elo 1834
8.6Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1961
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
7.0
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.6
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
77

De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°CDrizzle
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 60%