Jessica Pegula vs Ajla TomljanovicCharleston Round of 16

Charleston · WTA · Round of 16
#3WTA
2097ELO
1941Clay ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 March 2025
clay
#92WTA
1745ELO
1630Clay ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Pegula J.
6-3 6-2
Tomljanovic A.
Pegula J.
662
Tomljanovic A.
320

Jessica Pegula defeated Ajla Tomljanovic 6-3 6-2 in the Charleston round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's semi-final. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24BeijingR64hardJessica Pegula6-0 6-3
2025-02-24AustinSFhardJessica Pegula6-1 4-6 6-3
2024-01-01United CupRRhardJessica Pegula7-6(6) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Tomljanovic A.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Pegula J.Tomljanovic A.
67
Serve
22
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
43%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
6.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
71
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
73
Break points won·Slight edge
99
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
75
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+312 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Clay Elo 1630
9.3Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1745
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
3.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.0
Minutes 14d
9.3
0.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
8.1
Country comfort
4.9
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
97

Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Tomljanovic A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°CDrizzle
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 68%