Jessica Pegula vs Ajla TomljanovicAustin Semi-final

Austin · WTA · Semi-final
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#92WTA
1745ELO
1723Hard ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Pegula J.
6-1 4-6 6-3
Tomljanovic A.
Pegula J.
6462
Tomljanovic A.
1631

Jessica Pegula defeated Ajla Tomljanovic 6-1 4-6 6-3 in the Austin semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Jessica Pegula came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24BeijingR64hardJessica Pegula6-0 6-3
2025-03-31CharlestonR16clayJessica Pegula6-3 6-2
2024-01-01United CupRRhardJessica Pegula7-6(6) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Tomljanovic A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Tomljanovic A.
68
Serve
26
73
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
71
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
73
Break points won·Slight edge
99
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
75
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
9.1+335 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.9Hard Elo 1723
9.3Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1745
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.0
Surface form
3.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
97

Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Tomljanovic A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast