Jessica Pegula vs Ajla TomljanovicUnited Cup Round Robin

United Cup · WTA · Round Robin
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 January 2024
hard
#94WTA
1745ELO
1723Hard ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Pegula J.
7-6 6-3
Tomljanovic A.
Pegula J.
7862
Tomljanovic A.
6630

Jessica Pegula defeated Ajla Tomljanovic 7-6 6-3 in the United Cup round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending the title. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24BeijingR64hardJessica Pegula6-0 6-3
2025-03-31CharlestonR16clayJessica Pegula6-3 6-2
2025-02-24AustinSFhardJessica Pegula6-1 4-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Tomljanovic A.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Tomljanovic A.
68
Serve
26
73
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
6.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (151 vs 106). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
71
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
73
Break points won·Slight edge
99
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
75
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
3.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 55 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
9.1+335 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.9Hard Elo 1723
9.3Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1745
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.6
Surface form
3.3
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
97

Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Tomljanovic A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast