Sofia Kenin vs Daria KasatkinaCharleston Round of 16

Charleston · WTA · Round of 16
#106WTA
1694ELO
1655Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 March 2025
clay
#63WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Kenin S.
6-3 7-6
Kasatkina D.
Kenin S.
6792
Kasatkina D.
3670

Sofia Kenin defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-3 7-6 in the Charleston round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #63, defending last year's final. Sofia Kenin extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Sofia Kenin closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

33
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian WellsR64hardDaria Kasatkina3-6 7-5 6-4
2024-10-21TokyoQFhardSofia Kenin6-3 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenR64hardDaria Kasatkina2-6 6-4 6-4
2022-01-10SydneyR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-0
2019-02-18DubaiR32hardSofia Kenin6-3 2-6 6-4
2018-03-19MiamiR64hardSofia Kenin3-6 6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Kenin S.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kenin S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Even
58%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
49%
Break points saved·Even
56%
52%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
5.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (67 vs 55). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
66
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
92
80
Break points won·Clear edge
85
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
54
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
73
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Clay Elo 1655
Surface ELO
5.8+114 Clay Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1795
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
5.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
8.6
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.6
Country comfort
5.4
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
92

Kenin S.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°CDrizzle
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 68%