Daria Kasatkina vs Sofia Kenin — Indian Wells Round of 64

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
Daria Kasatkina
AUS12
Daria Kasatkina
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
Sofia Kenin
USA
Sofia Kenin
#106WTA
1694ELO
1659Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
Kasatkina D.
3-6 7-5 6-4
Kenin S.
Kasatkina D.
3762
Kenin S.
6541

Daria Kasatkina defeated Sofia Kenin 3-6 7-5 6-4 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #63, defending last year's round of 16. Daria Kasatkina narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

2–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-31CharlestonR16claySofia Kenin6-3 7-6(7)
2024-10-21TokyoQFhardSofia Kenin6-3 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenR64hardDaria Kasatkina2-6 6-4 6-4
2022-01-10SydneyR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-0
2019-02-18DubaiR32hardSofia Kenin6-3 2-6 6-4
2018-03-19MiamiR64hardSofia Kenin3-6 6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Kenin S.

Kenin S.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Serve advantage — Kasatkina D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Kenin S.
0
Serve
13
95
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Kasatkina D.Kenin S.
1st serve in·Even
68%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Service points won·Even
54%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
40%
Break points saved·Even
52%
56%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.7
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 67). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kasatkina D.Kenin S.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
66
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
92
Break points won·Clear edge
100
85
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
54
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kasatkina D.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Kenin S.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+99 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1659
5.8Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1694
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.8
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.5
Country comfort
6.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kasatkina D.Kenin S.
Freshness·Even
95
94

Kasatkina D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Kenin S.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw

Final
Andreeva M.[9]
Sabalenka A.[1]
2-66-46-3
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Keys M.[5]
6-06-1
Andreeva M.[9]
Swiatek I.[2]
7-611-66-3
Quarter-finals
Andreeva M.[9]
Svitolina E.[23]
7-56-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Zheng Q.[8]
6-36-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Samsonova L.[24]
6-26-3
Keys M.[5]
Bencic B.
6-16-1
R16
Swiatek I.[2]
Muchova K.[15]
6-16-1
Keys M.[5]
Vekic D.[19]
4-67-676-3
Andreeva M.[9]
Rybakina E.[7]
6-16-2
Svitolina E.[23]
Pegula J.[4]
5-76-16-2
Bencic B.
Gauff C.[3]
3-66-36-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kartal S.
6-16-2
Zheng Q.[8]
Kostyuk M.[18]
6-36-2
Samsonova L.[24]
Paolini J.[6]
6-06-4
R32
Kartal S.
Kudermetova P.
7-56-3
Rybakina E.[7]
Boulter K.[25]
6-07-5
Zheng Q.[8]
Sun L.
6-47-5
Samsonova L.[24]
Kasatkina D.[12]
2-66-36-2
Pegula J.[4]
Wang X.
6-26-1
Bencic B.
Shnaider D.[13]
6-46-4
Svitolina E.[23]
Collins D.[14]
6-26-4
Vekic D.[19]
Navarro E.[10]
7-656-1
Keys M.[5]
Mertens E.[28]
6-26-786-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bronzetti L.
6-16-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Yastremska D.
6-06-2
Kostyuk M.[18]
Dolehide C.
6-36-3
Andreeva M.[9]
Tauson C.[22]
6-36-0
Muchova K.[15]
Siniakova K.
7-56-1
Gauff C.[3]
Sakkari M.[29]
7-616-2
Paolini J.[6]
Cristian J.
6-43-66-4
R64
Sakkari M.[29]
Tomova V.
6-06-3
Siniakova K.
Putintseva Y.[21]
6-26-2
Svitolina E.[23]
Krueger A.
6-16-786-3
Bencic B.
Anisimova A.[17]
6-46-736-1
Kasatkina D.[12]
Kenin S.
3-67-56-4
Shnaider D.[13]
Parks A.
6-16-1
Navarro E.[10]
Cirstea S.
3-66-17-63
Keys M.[5]
Potapova A.
6-36-0
Boulter K.[25]
Begu I.
6-726-36-0
Andreeva M.[9]
Gracheva V.
7-56-4
Tauson C.[22]
Osorio C.
7-637-5
Pegula J.[4]
Linette M.
6-46-2
Sun L.
Noskova L.[31]
6-16-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Garcia C.
6-26-0
Kudermetova P.
Alexandrova E.[20]
7-56-2
Mertens E.[28]
Birrell K.
6-47-5
Gauff C.[3]
Uchijima M.
6-43-67-64
Cristian J.
Fernandez L.[27]
5-77-656-3
Kartal S.
Haddad Maia B.[16]
6-26-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kessler M.
7-646-3
Rybakina E.[7]
Lamens S.
6-36-3
Muchova K.[15]
Cocciaretto E.
6-46-3
Bronzetti L.
Frech M.[30]
6-37-5
Samsonova L.[24]
Mcnally C.
7-686-4
Dolehide C.
Lys E.
7-636-4
Yastremska D.
Jabeur O.[32]
6-36-1
Zheng Q.[8]
Azarenka V.
6-36-4
Vekic D.[19]
Avanesyan E.
6-36-3
Kostyuk M.[18]
Montgomery R.
6-16-3
Wang X.
Ostapenko J.[26]
6-46-4
Collins D.[14]
Baptiste H.
5-76-26-4
Paolini J.[6]
Jovic I.
7-631-66-3
R128
Cocciaretto E.
Zarazua R.
6-41-0
Mcnally C.
Tomljanovic A.
6-40-0
Dolehide C.
Rakhimova K.
6-27-63
Wang X.
Sherif M.
6-47-5
Tomova V.
Danilovic O.
6-26-3
Potapova A.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-756-47-5
Osorio C.
Osaka N.
6-46-4
Linette M.
Stearns P.
6-44-66-3
Montgomery R.
Niemeier J.
3-67-56-2
Yastremska D.
Yuan Y.
6-26-4
Siniakova K.
Carle M.
6-26-1
Garcia C.
Pera B.
6-36-4
Azarenka V.
Ngounoue C.
6-47-67
Baptiste H.
Osuigwe W.
6-16-2
Lamens S.
Bouzkova M.
3-66-36-3
Kudermetova P.
Liu C.
6-46-2
Begu I.
Li A.
7-53-66-1
Bronzetti L.
Kalinina A.
6-47-5
Cirstea S.
Joint M.
6-27-5
Jovic I.
Grabher J.
2-67-56-0
Uchijima M.
Raducanu E.
6-36-2
Gracheva V.
Kvitova P.
4-66-36-4
Cristian J.
Kudermetova V.
6-26-3
Kessler M.
Blinkova A.
6-16-2
Kenin S.
Inglis M.
6-26-1
Bencic B.
Maria T.
6-16-1
Parks A.
Kalinskaya A.
6-46-3
Avanesyan E.
Davis L.
6-46-2
Krueger A.
Volynets K.
0-66-26-2
Birrell K.
Golubic V.
6-46-4
Kartal S.
Lepchenko V.
7-666-2
Sun L.
Sramkova R.
6-31-67-62