Tommy Paul vs Cristian Garin — Houston Round of 16

Houston · ATP · Round of 16
Tommy Paul
USA1
Tommy Paul
#24ATP
1949ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 March 2025
clay
Cristian Garin
CHI
Cristian Garin
#141ATP
1667ELO
1659Clay ELO
$365kYTD
$7.0MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Paul T.
2-6 6-2 7-6
Garin C.
Paul T.
26772
Garin C.
62651

Tommy Paul defeated Cristian Garin 2-6 6-2 7-6 in the Houston round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24. Tommy Paul narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-08Rome MastersR64clayCristian Garin4-6 6-3 6-4
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR128clayCristian Garin5-7 6-1 6-2 6-3
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersR64hardTommy Paul4-6 6-3 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Garin C.

Garin C.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Paul T.Garin C.
33
Serve
—
—
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Paul T.Garin C.
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
42%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.3
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (66 vs 88). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paul T.Garin C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
94
Break points won·Dominant
87
45
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paul T.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Garin C.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+227 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Clay Elo 1659
8.1Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1667
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.1
Surface form
5.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
6.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paul T.Garin C.
Freshness·
91
—

Paul T.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Brooksby J.
Tiafoe F.[2]
6-46-2
Semi-finals
Tiafoe F.[2]
Nakashima B.[4]
6-47-63
Brooksby J.
Paul T.[1]
7-653-67-66
Quarter-finals
Paul T.[1]
Smith C.
6-17-61
Tiafoe F.[2]
Michelsen A.[5]
7-56-1
Nakashima B.[4]
Eubanks C.
6-46-4
Brooksby J.
Kovacevic A.
2-66-36-4
R16
Eubanks C.
Nishikori K.[8]
6-10-0
Smith C.
Quinn E.
6-36-4
Kovacevic A.
Denolly C.
6-36-3
Nakashima B.[4]
Mcdonald M.
6-17-5
Michelsen A.[5]
Mannarino A.
6-706-46-2
Tiafoe F.[2]
Walton A.
7-56-3
Brooksby J.
Tabilo A.[3]
3-66-47-66
Paul T.[1]
Garin C.
2-66-27-65
R32
Mannarino A.
Hanfmann Y.
7-656-3
Denolly C.
Holt B.
7-677-68
Smith C.
Duckworth J.
6-26-2
Quinn E.
Thompson J.[6]
4-66-46-3
Nishikori K.[8]
Krueger M.
6-46-2
Mcdonald M.
Galan D.
6-26-736-4
Michelsen A.[5]
Tien L.
6-46-2
Walton A.
Mmoh M.
6-37-65
Eubanks C.
Hijikata R.
6-24-66-3
Kovacevic A.
Etcheverry T.[7]
6-36-4
Garin C.
Ritschard A.
6-36-4
Brooksby J.
Daniel T.
6-46-4