Cristian Garin vs Tommy PaulRome Masters Round of 64

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#141ATP
1667ELO
1659Clay ELO
$365kYTD
$7.0MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 May 2023
clay
#24ATP
1949ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Garin C.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Paul T.
Garin C.
4662
Paul T.
6341

Cristian Garin defeated Tommy Paul 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the Rome Masters round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 32. Cristian Garin narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-31HoustonR16clayTommy Paul2-6 6-2 7-6(5)
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR128clayCristian Garin5-7 6-1 6-2 6-3
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersR64hardTommy Paul4-6 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Garin C.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Garin C.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Garin C.Paul T.
Serve
34
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
6.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
63
93
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
99
Break points won·Dominant
45
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
83
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
43
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Clay Elo 1659
Surface ELO
7.3+227 Clay Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1667
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1949
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.6
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
5.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%