Tommy Paul vs Cristian GarinCincinnati Masters Round of 64

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 August 2021
hard
#125ATP
1667ELO
1572Hard ELO
$365kYTD
$7.0MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Paul T.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Garin C.
Paul T.
4662
Garin C.
6341

Tommy Paul defeated Cristian Garin 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, defending last year's round of 64. Tommy Paul narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-31HoustonR16clayTommy Paul2-6 6-2 7-6(5)
2023-05-08Rome MastersR64clayCristian Garin4-6 6-3 6-4
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR128clayCristian Garin5-7 6-1 6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Garin C.

Garin C.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Garin C.
71
Serve
54
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.2
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
94
Break points won·Dominant
87
45
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.6+309 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Hard Elo 1572
8.1Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1667
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
1.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
8.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.9
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 86%