Jasmine Paolini vs Magda LinetteMiami Quarter-final

Miami · WTA · Quarter-final
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 18 March 2025
hard
#59WTA
1831ELO
1780Hard ELO
$732kYTD
$8.8MCAREER
34 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
Paolini J.
6-3 6-2
Linette M.
Paolini J.
662
Linette M.
320

Jasmine Paolini defeated Magda Linette 6-3 6-2 in the Miami quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, defending last year's round of 32. Jasmine Paolini narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-25BeijingR32hardMagda Linette6-4 6-0
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR32clayJasmine Paolini6-4 6-1
2023-06-19BirminghamR32grassMagda Linette3-6 7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Linette M.

Linette M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Serve advantage — Paolini J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Linette M.
31
Serve
26
55
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
41%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (73 vs 62). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
79
Break points saved·Even
87
86
Break points won·Clear edge
99
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
89
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+93 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1780
6.5Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1831
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.9
Surface form
4.7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
8.0
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.2
Country comfort
4.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
98

Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Linette M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw