Magda Linette vs Jasmine PaoliniBirmingham Round of 32

Birmingham · WTA · Round of 32
#59WTA
1831ELO
1669Grass ELO
$732kYTD
$8.8MCAREER
34 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 June 2023
grass
#17WTA
1905ELO
1748Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Linette M.
3-6 7-5 6-4
Paolini J.
Linette M.
3762
Paolini J.
6541

Magda Linette defeated Jasmine Paolini 3-6 7-5 6-4 in the Birmingham round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Magda Linette narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-18MiamiQFhardJasmine Paolini6-3 6-2
2024-09-25BeijingR32hardMagda Linette6-4 6-0
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR32clayJasmine Paolini6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Linette M.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Linette M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.2
1.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (173 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
79
89
Break points saved·Even
86
87
Break points won·Clear edge
75
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.2Grass Elo 1669
Surface ELO
6.8+79 Grass Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1905
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
76

Linette M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast