Magda Linette vs Jasmine PaoliniBeijing Round of 32

Beijing · WTA · Round of 32
#59WTA
1831ELO
1780Hard ELO
$732kYTD
$8.8MCAREER
34 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Linette M.
6-4 6-0
Paolini J.
Linette M.
662
Paolini J.
400

Magda Linette defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-4 6-0 in the Beijing round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 16. Magda Linette narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-18MiamiQFhardJasmine Paolini6-3 6-2
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR32clayJasmine Paolini6-4 6-1
2023-06-19BirminghamR32grassMagda Linette3-6 7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Linette M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Linette M.

Serve advantage — Paolini J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Linette M.Paolini J.
26
Serve
31
10
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
1.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (119 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
79
89
Break points saved·Even
86
87
Break points won·Clear edge
75
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 44 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1780
Surface ELO
6.5+93 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1905
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.1
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
72

Linette M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw