Ivan Gakhov vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Murcia CH Round of 32

Murcia CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Ivan Gakhov
RUS
Ivan Gakhov
#388ATP
1430ELO
1384Clay ELO
29 yrs · 191 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 March 2025
clay
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP3
Pablo Carreno Busta
#65ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Gakhov I.
6-3 6-4
Carreno Busta P.
Gakhov I.
662
Carreno Busta P.
340

Ivan Gakhov defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-3 6-4 in the Murcia CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65.

Key context

  • Match story: Ivan Gakhov closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Gakhov I.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Gakhov I.

Serve advantage — Carreno Busta P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Gakhov I.Carreno Busta P.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.5
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (71 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Gakhov I.Carreno Busta P.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
34
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
82
97
Break points won·Dominant
9
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
59
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
22
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gakhov I.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Carreno Busta P.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.7Clay Elo 1384
Surface ELO
9.3+382 Clay Elo edge
0.9Overall Elo 1430
ELO gap
9.1Overall Elo 1801
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
3.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
6.6
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Gakhov I.Carreno Busta P.
Freshness·
—
94

Carreno Busta P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Taberner C.
De Jong J.[2]
7-634-66-2
Semi-finals
Taberner C.
Coppejans K.
2-67-56-4
De Jong J.[2]
Gakhov I.
7-56-1
Quarter-finals
Taberner C.
Fucsovics M.[1]
7-55-77-63
Coppejans K.
Llamas Ruiz P.
6-46-3
De Jong J.[2]
Mayot H.[6]
W/O
Gakhov I.
Yevseyev D.
1-66-36-4
R16
Llamas Ruiz P.
Rincon D.
6-26-2
Fucsovics M.[1]
Hassan B.
7-56-3
Taberner C.
Merida Aguilar D.
7-617-62
Yevseyev D.
Jacquet K.[8]
4-66-30-0
Gakhov I.
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-47-62
De Jong J.[2]
Vacherot V.
6-33-67-5
Mayot H.[6]
Ramos A.
4-66-37-5
Coppejans K.
Moller E.
6-46-4
R32
Taberner C.
Gaubas V.
7-53-66-1
Merida Aguilar D.
Cilic M.[7]
6-26-4
Ramos A.
Zapata Miralles B.
3-66-46-3
Coppejans K.
Ofner S.[4]
6-16-746-3
Llamas Ruiz P.
Nagal S.[5]
6-46-1
Budkov Kjaer N.
Barranco Cosano J.
6-26-1
Mayot H.[6]
Butvilas E.
6-44-67-5
Vacherot V.
Brancaccio R.
7-636-766-3
Rincon D.
Pennaforti G.
6-06-3
Yevseyev D.
Engel J.
6-46-756-4
Fucsovics M.[1]
Rocha H.
6-26-3
De Jong J.[2]
Pellegrino A.
6-36-3
Gakhov I.
Carreno Busta P.[3]
6-36-4
Moller E.
Damas M.
4-67-56-4
Jacquet K.[8]
Alvarez Varona N.
6-37-64
Hassan B.
Blanchet U.
6-46-726-3