Kimmer Coppejans vs Pablo Llamas RuizMurcia CH Quarter-final

Murcia CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#199ATP
1544ELO
1513Clay ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 March 2025
clay
#116ATP
1757ELO
1732Clay ELO
$268kYTD
$884kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
Coppejans K.
6-4 6-3
Llamas Ruiz P.
Coppejans K.
662
Llamas Ruiz P.
430

Kimmer Coppejans defeated Pablo Llamas Ruiz 6-4 6-3 in the Murcia CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Llamas Ruiz came in ranked #116, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Coppejans K.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Llamas Ruiz P.

Llamas Ruiz P.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Coppejans K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
58%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
44
63
Break points saved·Clear edge
67
88
Break points won·Slight edge
29
39
Deciding sets·Slight edge
74
79
Tiebreaks·Dominant
43
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
2.9Clay Elo 1513
Surface ELO
7.1+219 Clay Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1544
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1757
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
4.7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
98

Coppejans K.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 73 games (7d) · Llamas Ruiz P.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast