Marcos Giron vs Casper RuudIndian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#92ATP
1718ELO
1704Hard ELO
$495kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
32 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#12ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Giron M.
7-6 3-6 6-2
Ruud C.
Giron M.
77362
Ruud C.
64621

Marcos Giron defeated Casper Ruud 7-6 3-6 6-2 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #12, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Marcos Giron narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Marcos Giron closed it out in three sets, 7–6 3–6 6–2.

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16Delray BeachR16hardCasper Ruud4-6 7-6(6) 6-4
2024-02-19Los CabosR16hardCasper Ruud6-1 6-0
2023-10-16TokyoR16hardMarcos Giron6-3 6-4
2021-11-01Paris MastersR16hardCasper Ruud6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Giron M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Ruud C.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Giron M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Giron M.Ruud C.
29
Serve
59
45
Return
31

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
68%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.0
6.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.7
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (74 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
62
91
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
42
75
Deciding sets·Dominant
56
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1704
Surface ELO
6.6+184 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1718
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1983
4.6
H2H
5.4
6.7
Surface form
7.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.3
Country comfort
5.2
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
97

Giron M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Ruud C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%