Jelena Ostapenko vs Liudmila SamsonovaDoha Round of 32

Doha · WTA · Round of 32
#31WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 9 February 2025
hard
#41WTA
1775ELO
1723Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLL
Ostapenko J.
7-6 7-5
Samsonova L.
Ostapenko J.
7772
Samsonova L.
6550

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Liudmila Samsonova 7-6 7-5 in the Doha round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #31, defending last year's round of 16. Jelena Ostapenko extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-02BeijingQFhardLiudmila Samsonova6-3 6-2
2023-04-24MadridR32clayLiudmila Samsonova6-2 6-0
2021-09-13LuxembourgSFhardJelena Ostapenko6-1 7-6(4)
2020-01-20Australian OpenR128hardJelena Ostapenko6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Samsonova L.

Samsonova L.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ostapenko J.Samsonova L.
10
Serve
38
45
Return
5

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
58%
Aces / match·Even
3.8
3.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 66). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
69
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
93
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
55

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+71 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1723
5.2Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1775
0.0
H2H
10.0
1.8
Surface form
4.2
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
8.2
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.9
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
86

Ostapenko J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Samsonova L.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw