Liudmila Samsonova vs Jelena OstapenkoBeijing Quarter-final

Beijing · WTA · Quarter-final
#41WTA
1775ELO
1723Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
#31WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Samsonova L.
6-3 6-2
Ostapenko J.
Samsonova L.
662
Ostapenko J.
320

Liudmila Samsonova defeated Jelena Ostapenko 6-3 6-2 in the Beijing quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Liudmila Samsonova narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-09DohaR32hardJelena Ostapenko7-6(5) 7-5
2023-04-24MadridR32clayLiudmila Samsonova6-2 6-0
2021-09-13LuxembourgSFhardJelena Ostapenko6-1 7-6(4)
2020-01-20Australian OpenR128hardJelena Ostapenko6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Samsonova L.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Samsonova L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Samsonova L.Ostapenko J.
38
Serve
10
5
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
55%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
43%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Even
4.6
4.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
5.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (174 vs 163). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
93
79
Break points won·Slight edge
94
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
55
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1723
Surface ELO
5.5+71 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1775
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1855
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.0
Surface form
5.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
8.3
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
92

Samsonova L.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Ostapenko J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw