Liudmila Samsonova vs Jelena Ostapenko — Madrid Round of 32

Madrid · WTA · Round of 32
Liudmila Samsonova
RUS14
Liudmila Samsonova
#41WTA
1775ELO
1718Clay ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 April 2023
clay
Jelena Ostapenko
LAT19
Jelena Ostapenko
#31WTA
1855ELO
1808Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Samsonova L.
6-2 6-0
Ostapenko J.
Samsonova L.
662
Ostapenko J.
200

Liudmila Samsonova defeated Jelena Ostapenko 6-2 6-0 in the Madrid round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 64. Liudmila Samsonova narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-09DohaR32hardJelena Ostapenko7-6(5) 7-5
2023-10-02BeijingQFhardLiudmila Samsonova6-3 6-2
2021-09-13LuxembourgSFhardJelena Ostapenko6-1 7-6(4)
2020-01-20Australian OpenR128hardJelena Ostapenko6-1 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Samsonova L.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Samsonova L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Samsonova L.Ostapenko J.
1st serve in·Even
55%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
43%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.7
4.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
5.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (174 vs 163). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Samsonova L.Ostapenko J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
93
79
Break points won·Slight edge
94
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
55
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Samsonova L.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Ostapenko J.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1718
Surface ELO
5.4+90 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1775
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1855
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.2
Surface form
4.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
8.2
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Samsonova L.Ostapenko J.
Freshness·Slight edge
86
92

Samsonova L.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Ostapenko J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[2]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-33-66-3
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[2]
Sakkari M.[9]
6-46-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Kudermetova V.[12]
6-16-1
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[1]
Martic P.[27]
6-06-3
Kudermetova V.[12]
Pegula J.[3]
6-40-66-4
Sakkari M.[9]
Begu I.[31]
6-736-46-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Sherif M.
2-66-26-1
R16
Pegula J.[3]
Trevisan M.[18]
6-32-66-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Alexandrova E.[16]
6-46-736-3
Martic P.[27]
Krejcikova B.[11]
6-37-61
Kudermetova V.[12]
Kasatkina D.[8]
7-51-67-62
Sakkari M.[9]
Badosa P.[26]
6-46-4
Sherif M.
Mertens E.[24]
6-40-66-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Andreeva M.
6-36-1
Begu I.[31]
Samsonova L.[14]
6-46-4
R32
Alexandrova E.[16]
Zheng Q.[22]
5-76-46-2
Sakkari M.[9]
Masarova R.
3-66-36-3
Trevisan M.[18]
Parks A.
7-636-1
Andreeva M.
Linette M.[17]
6-36-3
Begu I.[31]
Rogers S.[33]
7-56-2
Krejcikova B.[11]
Wang X.
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.[2]
Osorio C.
6-47-5
Sherif M.
Garcia C.[5]
7-626-3
Martic P.[27]
Kalinskaya A.
6-34-66-3
Pegula J.[3]
Bouzkova M.[29]
6-47-62
Kasatkina D.[8]
Tsurenko L.
6-46-2
Samsonova L.[14]
Ostapenko J.[19]
6-26-0
Mertens E.[24]
Niemeier J.
6-36-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Pera B.[28]
6-36-2
Kudermetova V.[12]
Potapova A.[21]
7-635-76-3
Badosa P.[26]
Gauff C.[6]
6-36-0
R64
Pera B.[28]
Maria T.
6-16-3
Krejcikova B.[11]
Kovinic D.
6-34-66-0
Kalinskaya A.
Rybakina E.[7]
7-54-66-2
Trevisan M.[18]
Bouchard E.
6-27-5
Kudermetova V.[12]
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-34-66-2
Tsurenko L.
Teichmann J.[25]
3-66-26-4
Badosa P.[26]
Cocciaretto E.
6-34-66-4
Begu I.[31]
Muchova K.
6-47-5
Rogers S.[33]
Bogdan A.
6-26-2
Osorio C.
Kostyuk M.[32]
3-66-46-3
Mertens E.[24]
Marino R.
6-36-1
Garcia C.[5]
Putintseva Y.
6-36-4
Andreeva M.
Haddad Maia B.[13]
7-666-3
Parks A.
Azarenka V.[15]
6-27-65
Zheng Q.[22]
Mcnally C.
6-47-63
Sabalenka A.[2]
Cirstea S.
6-46-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Grabher J.
6-36-2
Wang X.
Andreescu B.[23]
3-67-656-2
Martic P.[27]
Siegemund L.
7-666-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Rus A.
6-46-4
Niemeier J.
Kvitova P.[10]
7-696-1
Linette M.[17]
Vondrousova M.
7-614-66-4
Masarova R.
Vekic D.[20]
6-17-65
Gauff C.[6]
Burillo Escorihuela I.
6-46-1
Samsonova L.[14]
Zanevska M.
6-26-3
Kasatkina D.[8]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-46-3
Ostapenko J.[19]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-06-3
Pegula J.[3]
Frech M.
7-656-3
Potapova A.[21]
Cristian J.
7-53-66-2
Sherif M.
Kalinina A.[30]
6-27-63
Alexandrova E.[16]
Cornet A.
7-626-3
Bouzkova M.[29]
Sasnovich A.
6-46-746-3
R128
Grabher J.
Tomova V.
6-17-65
Mcnally C.
Galfi D.
4-66-06-3
Kalinskaya A.
Fruhvirtova B.
2-66-46-4
Bouchard E.
Yastremska D.
6-766-26-2
Masarova R.
Bucsa C.
6-35-76-4
Rus A.
Anisimova A.
7-56-2
Muchova K.
Kontaveit A.
6-26-2
Putintseva Y.
Liu C.
6-46-4
Niemeier J.
Wang X.
6-46-2
Maria T.
Eala A.
6-16-1
Siegemund L.
Podoroska N.
3-66-36-3
Cirstea S.
Davis L.
6-33-66-1
Fruhvirtova L.
Volynets K.
6-37-5
Wang X.
Gracheva V.
6-726-36-4
Sasnovich A.
Svitolina E.
6-47-5
Marino R.
Zhu L.
7-616-4
Parks A.
Schmiedlova A.
6-26-756-2
Osorio C.
Burel C.
6-36-4
Cornet A.
Ruse E.
6-766-46-3
Bogdan A.
Bondar A.
4-66-47-62
Frech M.
Paolini J.
6-26-3
Parrizas Diaz N.
Blinkova A.
6-36-0
Tsurenko L.
Bronzetti L.
6-16-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-16-757-67
Burillo Escorihuela I.
Kanepi K.
6-756-26-4
Cocciaretto E.
Strycova B.
6-37-65
Andreeva M.
Fernandez L.
6-36-4
Vondrousova M.
Bassols Ribera M.
6-16-3
Sherif M.
Giorgi C.
4-66-4
Kovinic D.
Errani S.
6-46-0
Zanevska M.
Kenin S.
6-06-3
Cristian J.
Stephens S.
5-76-46-4