Madison Keys vs Jessica PegulaAdelaide Final

Adelaide · WTA · Final
#23WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025 ·
hard
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Keys M.
6-3 4-6 6-1
Pegula J.
Keys M.
6462
Pegula J.
3611

Madison Keys defeated Jessica Pegula 6-3 4-6 6-1 in the Adelaide final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's semi-final. Madison Keys narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Madison Keys came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–3 4–6 6–1.

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-19BerlinQFgrassJessica Pegula
2026-01-19Australian OpenR16hardJessica Pegula6-3 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenR16hardMadison Keys6-1 6-3
2022-10-10San DiegoQFhardJessica Pegula6-4 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (61 vs 95). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
90
Break points saved·Even
76
76
Break points won·Slight edge
87
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
93
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Keys M.: 20 days rest · Pegula J.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw