Madison Keys vs Jessica Pegula — US Open Round of 16
US Open · WTA · Round of 16
USA#22WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 August 2023
hard
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Keys M.6-1 6-3
Pegula J.
Keys M.
662
Pegula J.
13–
Madison Keys defeated Jessica Pegula 6-1 6-3 in the US Open round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Madison Keys narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.
Key context
- Match story: Madison Keys dropped just 4 games past Jessica Pegula.
Head to head
1–3| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Berlin | QF | grass | Jessica Pegula | 7.7-6.5 7.10-6.8 |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | R16 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-01-06 | Adelaide | F | hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 4-6 6-1 |
| 2022-10-10 | San Diego | QF | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-4 7-5 |
Serve vs return
This seasonEven serve battle
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Serve & return on hard
Keys M.Pegula J.
36
Serve
68
29
Return
73
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CDrizzle
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 74%
Draw
Quarter-finals
Keys M.
Vondrousova M.
6-16-4
Sabalenka A.
Zheng Q.
6-16-4
Muchova K.
Cirstea S.
6-06-3
Gauff C.
Ostapenko J.
6-06-2
R16
Gauff C.
Wozniacki C.
6-33-66-1
Sabalenka A.
Kasatkina D.
6-16-3
Ostapenko J.
Swiatek I.
3-66-36-1
Cirstea S.
Bencic B.
6-36-3
Muchova K.
Wang X.
6-35-76-1
Vondrousova M.
Stearns P.
6-736-36-2
Keys M.
Pegula J.
6-16-3
Zheng Q.
Jabeur O.
6-26-4
R32
Swiatek I.
Juvan K.
6-06-1
Bencic B.
Zhu L.
7-612-66-3
Kasatkina D.
Minnen G.
6-36-4
Stearns P.
Boulter K.
6-46-3
Vondrousova M.
Alexandrova E.
6-26-1
Cirstea S.
Rybakina E.
6-36-766-4
Gauff C.
Mertens E.
3-66-36-0
Sabalenka A.
Burel C.
6-16-1
Zheng Q.
Bronzetti L.
6-34-66-4
Jabeur O.
Bouzkova M.
5-77-656-3
Pegula J.
Svitolina E.
6-44-66-2
Keys M.
Samsonova L.
5-76-26-2
Wang X.
Schmiedlova A.
4-66-36-2
Muchova K.
Townsend T.
7-606-3
Wozniacki C.
Brady J.
4-66-36-1
Ostapenko J.
Pera B.
4-66-36-3
R64
Rybakina E.
Tomljanovic A.
W/O
Brady J.
Linette M.
6-12-66-2
Mertens E.
Collins D.
3-67-676-1
Minnen G.
Vickery S.
6-34-66-4
Burel C.
Pliskova K.
6-46-2
Sabalenka A.
Burrage J.
6-36-2
Pera B.
Wang X.
3-67-656-2
Wozniacki C.
Kvitova P.
7-57-65
Swiatek I.
Saville D.
6-36-4
Gauff C.
Andreeva M.
6-36-2
Stearns P.
Tauson C.
6-36-0
Alexandrova E.
Tsurenko L.
6-16-3
Vondrousova M.
Trevisan M.
6-26-2
Samsonova L.
Korpatsch T.
6-36-3
Kasatkina D.
Kenin S.
2-66-46-4
Pegula J.
Tig P.
6-36-1
Bronzetti L.
Lys E.
6-36-2
Zheng Q.
Kanepi K.
6-23-66-2
Bouzkova M.
Martic P.
6-16-2
Jabeur O.
Noskova L.
7-674-66-3
Cirstea S.
Kalinskaya A.
6-36-4
Zhu L.
Azarenka V.
6-36-3
Bencic B.
Miyazaki Y.
6-36-3
Muchova K.
Frech M.
6-36-3
Townsend T.
Haddad Maia B.
7-617-5
Juvan K.
Davis L.
6-736-46-3
Ostapenko J.
Avanesyan E.
6-35-77-5
Wang X.
Sorribes Tormo S.
5-76-36-4
Schmiedlova A.
Masarova R.
7-606-2
Svitolina E.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
5-76-46-4
Boulter K.
Wang Y.
5-76-16-4
Keys M.
Wickmayer Y.
6-16-2
R128
Collins D.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-26-0
Mertens E.
Bjorklund M.
3-66-37-63
Cirstea S.
Day K.
6-26-3
Townsend T.
Gracheva V.
6-46-2
Frech M.
Navarro E.
7-6101-66-2
Tauson C.
Potapova A.
7-643-66-3
Keys M.
Rus A.
6-26-4
Wickmayer Y.
Zvonareva V.
6-46-4
Korpatsch T.
Begu I.
6-36-2
Lys E.
Montgomery R.
6-26-1
Burel C.
Dolehide C.
6-46-3
Pliskova K.
Ruse E.
6-16-4
Vickery S.
Vekic D.
2-67-56-2
Minnen G.
Williams V.
6-16-1
Miyazaki Y.
Gasparyan M.
6-36-3
Tig P.
Marino R.
7-667-61
Juvan K.
Cocciaretto E.
6-27-5
Avanesyan E.
Cornet A.
6-21-66-4
Ostapenko J.
Paolini J.
6-24-66-1
Davis L.
Kovinic D.
6-26-2
Kalinskaya A.
Siniakova K.
6-46-2
Sorribes Tormo S.
Kalinina A.
6-47-5
Haddad Maia B.
Stephens S.
6-25-76-4
Stearns P.
Tomova V.
6-36-4
Boulter K.
Parry D.
6-46-0
Wang Y.
Garcia C.
6-46-1
Samsonova L.
Liu C.
7-636-3
Vondrousova M.
Han N.
6-36-0
Kenin S.
Bogdan A.
7-626-4
Sabalenka A.
Zanevska M.
6-36-2
Burrage J.
Blinkova A.
6-36-4
Pera B.
Kudermetova V.
7-56-4
Kasatkina D.
Parks A.
2-66-46-2
Bronzetti L.
Krejcikova B.
6-47-63
Kanepi K.
Strycova B.
6-46-4
Zheng Q.
Podoroska N.
6-16-0
Bouzkova M.
Krueger A.
7-56-4
Martic P.
Maria T.
6-26-1
Noskova L.
Brengle M.
6-26-1
Jabeur O.
Osorio C.
7-57-64
Pegula J.
Giorgi C.
6-26-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Crawley F.
6-26-4
Svitolina E.
Friedsam A.
6-36-1
Trevisan M.
Putintseva Y.
0-67-607-68
Tsurenko L.
Jacquemot E.
7-53-66-1
Alexandrova E.
Fernandez L.
7-645-76-4
Masarova R.
Sakkari M.
6-46-4
Schmiedlova A.
Baindl K.
6-43-66-3
Wang X.
Volynets K.
6-36-4
Muchova K.
Hunter S.
6-46-0
Bencic B.
Rakhimova K.
6-26-4
Zhu L.
Sherif M.
6-37-5
Azarenka V.
Ferro F.
6-16-2
Tomljanovic A.
Udvardy P.
3-66-26-4
Rybakina E.
Kostyuk M.
6-26-1
Gauff C.
Siegemund L.
3-66-26-4
Andreeva M.
Gadecki O.
1-66-36-4
Linette M.
Sasnovich A.
6-36-1
Brady J.
Birrell K.
6-37-64
Wozniacki C.
Prozorova T.
6-36-2
Kvitova P.
Bucsa C.
6-17-65
Wang X.
Hruncakova V.
4-66-37-66
Saville D.
Ngounoue C.
6-06-2
Swiatek I.
Peterson R.
6-06-1