Miomir Kecmanovic vs Alexander BublikAdelaide Round of 32

Adelaide · ATP · Round of 32
#50ATP
1768ELO
1709Hard ELO
$756kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Kecmanovic M.
6-4 6-2
Bublik A.
Kecmanovic M.
662
Bublik A.
420

Miomir Kecmanovic defeated Alexander Bublik 6-4 6-2 in the Adelaide round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, defending last year's semi-final. Miomir Kecmanovic extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR64clayMiomir Kecmanovic4-6 7-5 6-2 6-1
2022-05-02Madrid MastersR64clayMiomir Kecmanovic6-4 7-5
2021-09-20Nur-SultanR16hardAlexander Bublik2-6 6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Kecmanovic M.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Kecmanovic M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kecmanovic M.Bublik A.
34
Serve
65
45
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.2
10.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (77 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
66
88
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Even
67
67
Deciding sets·Dominant
56
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
69
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
2.9Hard Elo 1709
Surface ELO
7.1+128 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1768
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1889
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
2.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
5.7
Country comfort
4.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
94
66

Kecmanovic M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 58%