Miomir Kecmanovic vs Alexander BublikMadrid Masters Round of 64

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#50ATP
1768ELO
1733Clay ELO
$756kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 May 2022
clay
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Kecmanovic M.
6-4 7-5
Bublik A.
Kecmanovic M.
672
Bublik A.
450

Miomir Kecmanovic defeated Alexander Bublik 6-4 7-5 in the Madrid Masters round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, defending last year's quarter-final, but Miomir Kecmanovic had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Miomir Kecmanovic extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-06AdelaideR32hardMiomir Kecmanovic6-4 6-2
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR64clayMiomir Kecmanovic4-6 7-5 6-2 6-1
2021-09-20Nur-SultanR16hardAlexander Bublik2-6 6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Kecmanovic M.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Kecmanovic M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Kecmanovic M.Bublik A.
Serve
55
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
46%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.6
11.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
66
88
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Even
67
67
Deciding sets·Dominant
56
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
69
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Clay Elo 1733
Surface ELO
7.6+90 Clay Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1768
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1889
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.4
Surface form
3.5
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
9.4
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
94
66

Kecmanovic M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%