Alexander Bublik vs Miomir KecmanovicNur-Sultan Round of 16

Nur-Sultan · ATP · Round of 16
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 September 2021
hard
#59ATP
1768ELO
1709Hard ELO
$756kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLLWWW
Bublik A.
2-6 6-3 7-5
Kecmanovic M.
Bublik A.
2672
Kecmanovic M.
6351

Alexander Bublik defeated Miomir Kecmanovic 2-6 6-3 7-5 in the Nur-Sultan round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, defending last year's round of 32. Alexander Bublik claimed a first win over Miomir Kecmanovic in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-06AdelaideR32hardMiomir Kecmanovic6-4 6-2
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR64clayMiomir Kecmanovic4-6 7-5 6-2 6-1
2022-05-02Madrid MastersR64clayMiomir Kecmanovic6-4 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Kecmanovic M.

Kecmanovic M.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Kecmanovic M.
65
Serve
34
25
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.1
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
66
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Even
67
67
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
56
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
7.1+128 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Hard Elo 1709
7.6Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1768
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
3.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
74
96

Bublik A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Kecmanovic M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast