Carlos Alcaraz vs Nicolas JarryParis Masters Round of 32

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#3ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 October 2024
hard
#764ATP
1648ELO
1574Hard ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
Alcaraz C.
7-5 6-1
Jarry N.
Alcaraz C.
762
Jarry N.
510

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Nicolas Jarry 7-5 6-1 in the Paris Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 32. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Carlos Alcaraz came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-12Buenos AiresSFclayNicolas Jarry7-6(2) 6-3
2023-07-03WimbledonR32grassCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-7(6) 6-3 7-5
2023-02-20Rio de JaneiroSFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-7(2) 7-5 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Jarry N.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Jarry N.
74
Serve
95
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
51%
Service points won·Even
68%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
34%
Break points saved·Even
66%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.2
9.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (170 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
48
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
99
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
57
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+515 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1574
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1648
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.8
Surface form
2.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.3
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.5
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
14°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 92%