Nicolas Jarry vs Carlos AlcarazBuenos Aires Semi-final

Buenos Aires · ATP · Semi-final
#764ATP
1648ELO
1642Clay ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 February 2024
clay
#3ATP
2162ELO
2102Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Jarry N.
7-6 6-3
Alcaraz C.
Jarry N.
7762
Alcaraz C.
6230

Nicolas Jarry defeated Carlos Alcaraz 7-6 6-3 in the Buenos Aires semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending the title. Nicolas Jarry claimed a first win over Carlos Alcaraz in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Nicolas Jarry closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-28Paris MastersR32hardCarlos Alcaraz7-5 6-1
2023-07-03WimbledonR32grassCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-7(6) 6-3 7-5
2023-02-20Rio de JaneiroSFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-7(2) 7-5 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Jarry N.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
57%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
42%
Break points saved·Even
65%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.7
5.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 170). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
48
98
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Dominant
4
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
57
100
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
79
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
0.0Clay Elo 1642
Surface ELO
10.0+460 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1648
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2162
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.9
Surface form
8.4
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°CRain
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 94%