Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi — Shanghai Masters Round of 32

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 32
Daniil Medvedev
RUS5
Daniil Medvedev
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 2 October 2024
hard
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA29
Matteo Arnaldi
#35ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Medvedev D.
5-7 6-4 6-4
Arnaldi M.
Medvedev D.
5662
Arnaldi M.
7441

Daniil Medvedev defeated Matteo Arnaldi 5-7 6-4 6-4 in the Shanghai Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 32. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

3–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR64clayDaniil Medvedev2-6 6-4 6-4
2023-08-07Canada MastersR32hardDaniil Medvedev6-2 7-5
2023-02-27DubaiR32hardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Arnaldi M.
47
Serve
23
94
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Medvedev D.Arnaldi M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.4
6.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (157 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Medvedev D.Arnaldi M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
96
78
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Dominant
99
51
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
86
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Medvedev D.
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Arnaldi M.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.6+230 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Hard Elo 1732
8.3Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1830
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.5
Surface form
5.7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.1
Minutes 14d
9.3
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Medvedev D.Arnaldi M.
Freshness·Slight edge
85
95

Medvedev D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Arnaldi M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 50%
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Djokovic N.[4]
7-646-3
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Machac T.[30]
6-47-5
Djokovic N.[4]
Fritz T.[7]
6-47-66
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Medvedev D.[5]
6-16-4
Fritz T.[7]
Goffin D.
6-36-4
Djokovic N.[4]
Mensik J.
6-746-16-4
Machac T.[30]
Alcaraz C.[3]
7-657-5
R16
Alcaraz C.[3]
Monfils G.
6-47-5
Djokovic N.[4]
Safiullin R.
6-36-2
Goffin D.
Zverev A.[2]
6-47-5
Sinner J.[1]
Shelton B.[14]
6-47-61
Machac T.[30]
Paul T.[11]
3-66-46-3
Medvedev D.[5]
Tsitsipas S.[10]
7-636-3
Mensik J.
Dimitrov G.[9]
6-33-66-4
Fritz T.[7]
Rune H.[12]
6-16-2
R32
Mensik J.
Shevchenko A.
6-16-756-2
Rune H.[12]
Lehecka J.
6-47-5
Machac T.[30]
Vukic A.
6-46-2
Shelton B.[14]
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-4
Goffin D.
Giron M.
1-66-37-5
Paul T.[11]
Tabilo A.[19]
6-727-666-2
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Muller A.
6-37-5
Monfils G.
Humbert U.[16]
7-672-66-1
Safiullin R.
Tiafoe F.[13]
5-77-57-65
Fritz T.[7]
Watanuki Y.
6-36-4
Dimitrov G.[9]
Popyrin A.[20]
7-656-2
Medvedev D.[5]
Arnaldi M.[29]
5-76-46-4
Sinner J.[1]
Etcheverry T.[31]
6-736-46-2
Alcaraz C.[3]
Wu Y.
7-656-3
Zverev A.[2]
Griekspoor T.
7-662-67-65
Djokovic N.[4]
Cobolli F.[28]
6-16-2
R64
Carballes Baena R.
Fils A.[21]
7-647-65
Fritz T.[7]
Atmane T.
7-647-65
Djokovic N.[4]
Michelsen A.
7-637-69
Rune H.[12]
Berrettini M.
4-66-46-3
Sinner J.[1]
Daniel T.
6-16-4
Shelton B.[14]
Shapovalov D.
6-37-5
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Nishikori K.
7-666-4
Muller A.
Auger Aliassime F.[18]
6-36-2
Arnaldi M.[29]
Svajda Z.
6-726-26-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Seyboth Wild T.
7-57-5
Wu Y.
Jarry N.[25]
6-26-1
Humbert U.[16]
Cazaux A.
6-36-2
Machac T.[30]
Davidovich Fokina A.
1-67-636-4
Vukic A.
Ruud C.[8]
6-46-4
Popyrin A.[20]
Kecmanovic M.
6-36-2
Dimitrov G.[9]
Bergs Z.
6-33-66-2
Cobolli F.[28]
Wawrinka S.
6-767-646-3
Watanuki Y.
Nakashima B.[32]
7-646-3
Lehecka J.
Munar J.
7-666-4
Giron M.
Khachanov K.[24]
6-46-3
Griekspoor T.
Thompson J.[26]
6-36-2
Monfils G.
Baez S.[22]
6-34-66-4
Shevchenko A.
Cerundolo F.[27]
7-677-5
Safiullin R.
Bublik A.[23]
6-46-2
Paul T.[11]
Fognini F.
6-16-3
Goffin D.
Musetti L.[15]
1-67-666-2
Tiafoe F.[13]
Zhou Y.
6-26-4
Tabilo A.[19]
Rinderknech A.
6-36-2
Etcheverry T.[31]
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-653-67-5
Mensik J.
Rublev A.[6]
6-776-46-3
Alcaraz C.[3]
Shang J.
6-26-2
Zverev A.[2]
Bellucci M.
6-46-2
R128
Nishikori K.
Navone M.
3-66-46-3
Svajda Z.
Mannarino A.
6-31-66-0
Zhou Y.
Nishioka Y.
2-4
Wawrinka S.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-627-66
Berrettini M.
Oconnell C.
7-697-66
Shapovalov D.
Sonego L.
7-657-68
Rinderknech A.
Opelka R.
6-47-65
Carballes Baena R.
Bautista Agut R.
3-66-36-2
Daniel T.
Gerasimov E.
6-756-36-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Carreno Busta P.
7-656-2
Seyboth Wild T.
Evans D.
6-24-67-63
Shang J.
Wong C.
6-46-4
Wu Y.
Nagal S.
6-36-3
Monfils G.
Dzumhur D.
6-46-3
Cazaux A.
Cilic M.
6-46-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Diallo G.
7-57-67
Mensik J.
Martinez P.
6-15-76-4
Shevchenko A.
Ramanathan R.
6-17-63
Kecmanovic M.
Hijikata R.
6-26-2
Bergs Z.
Zhang Z.
6-46-3
Michelsen A.
Yunchaokete B.
6-36-4
Goffin D.
Duckworth J.
6-46-2
Griekspoor T.
Diaz Acosta F.
6-46-766-3
Muller A.
Nardi L.
4-66-16-1
Vukic A.
Moutet C.
2-66-36-4
Munar J.
Gaston H.
6-36-3
Fognini F.
Darderi L.
6-46-756-4
Giron M.
Tu L.
6-17-64
Bellucci M.
Harris B.
6-36-4
Safiullin R.
Zhukayev B.
7-606-4
Atmane T.
Kovacevic A.
6-47-64
Watanuki Y.
Kotov P.
6-766-47-5