Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo ArnaldiDubai Round of 32

Dubai · ATP · Round of 32
#8ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Medvedev D.
6-4 6-2
Arnaldi M.
Medvedev D.
662
Arnaldi M.
420

Daniil Medvedev defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-4 6-2 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR32hardDaniil Medvedev5-7 6-4 6-4
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR64clayDaniil Medvedev2-6 6-4 6-4
2023-08-07Canada MastersR32hardDaniil Medvedev6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Arnaldi M.
47
Serve
23
94
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.6
5.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.5
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 194). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
96
78
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Dominant
99
51
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
86
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.6+230 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Hard Elo 1732
8.3Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1830
5.0
H2H
5.0
10.0
Surface form
6.3
10.09-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
7.9
0.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
96

Medvedev D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Arnaldi M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 21%