Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo ArnaldiMadrid Masters Round of 64

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#9ATP
1977ELO
1889Clay ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 22 April 2024
clay
#35ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Medvedev D.
2-6 6-4 6-4
Arnaldi M.
Medvedev D.
2662
Arnaldi M.
6441

Daniil Medvedev defeated Matteo Arnaldi 2-6 6-4 6-4 in the Madrid Masters round of 64 on clay. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 16. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR32hardDaniil Medvedev5-7 6-4 6-4
2023-08-07Canada MastersR32hardDaniil Medvedev6-2 7-5
2023-02-27DubaiR32hardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.5
6.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (157 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
96
78
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Dominant
99
51
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
86
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.2+59 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1830
8.3Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1830
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
6.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
4.4
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
85
95

Medvedev D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Arnaldi M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 33%