Flavio Cobolli vs Pavel KotovBeijing Round of 16

Beijing · ATP · Round of 16
#10ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 26 September 2024
hard
#249ATP
1597ELO
1601Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
Cobolli F.
6-4 6-2
Kotov P.
Cobolli F.
662
Kotov P.
420

Flavio Cobolli defeated Pavel Kotov 6-4 6-2 in the Beijing round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #10. Flavio Cobolli extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-01MarrakechR16clayPavel Kotov6-1 7-6(5)
2024-01-15Australian OpenR64hardFlavio Cobolli7-5 6-3 5-7 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Cobolli F.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Kotov P.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cobolli F.Kotov P.
20
Serve
35
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Even
5.4
5.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (159 vs 105). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
59
Break points saved·Even
96
94
Break points won·Clear edge
35
13
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
82
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+209 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Hard Elo 1601
8.0Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1597
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.7
Surface form
3.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
61

Cobolli F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 59%