Pavel Kotov vs Flavio CobolliMarrakech Round of 16

Marrakech · ATP · Round of 16
#246ATP
1597ELO
1529Clay ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 April 2024
clay
#9ATP
1896ELO
1862Clay ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Kotov P.
6-1 7-6
Cobolli F.
Kotov P.
6772
Cobolli F.
1650

Pavel Kotov defeated Flavio Cobolli 6-1 7-6 in the Marrakech round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Pavel Kotov claimed a first win over Flavio Cobolli in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Pavel Kotov came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-26BeijingR16hardFlavio Cobolli6-4 6-2
2024-01-15Australian OpenR64hardFlavio Cobolli7-5 6-3 5-7 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Kotov P.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Kotov P.Cobolli F.
Serve
54
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Even
5.1
5.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (105 vs 159). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
59
76
Break points saved·Even
94
96
Break points won·Clear edge
13
35
Deciding sets·Clear edge
82
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.6Clay Elo 1529
Surface ELO
8.4+334 Clay Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1896
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.3
Surface form
8.6
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
7.3
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
66

Cobolli F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast