Flavio Cobolli vs Pavel KotovAustralian Open Round of 64

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 64
#10ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
#249ATP
1597ELO
1601Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
Cobolli F.
7-5 6-3 5-7 6-2
Kotov P.
Cobolli F.
76563
Kotov P.
53721

Flavio Cobolli defeated Pavel Kotov 7-5 6-3 5-7 6-2 in the Australian Open round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #10. Flavio Cobolli extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Flavio Cobolli closed it out in four sets, 7–5 6–3 5–7 6–2.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-26BeijingR16hardFlavio Cobolli6-4 6-2
2024-04-01MarrakechR16clayPavel Kotov6-1 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Cobolli F.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Kotov P.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cobolli F.Kotov P.
20
Serve
35
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
64%
Aces / match·Even
5.4
5.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (159 vs 105). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
59
Break points saved·Even
96
94
Break points won·Clear edge
35
13
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
82
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+209 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Hard Elo 1601
8.0Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1597
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.1
Surface form
7.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
56

Cobolli F.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 61%
R128
Popyrin A.
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Monfils G.
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Medvedev D.[3]
Atmane T.
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Lehecka J.[32]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-36-26-3
Norrie C.[19]
Varillas J.
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Ruud C.[11]
Ramos A.
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Hijikata R.
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Kovacevic A.
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2-63-67-636-47-5
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Jarry N.[18]
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Altmaier D.
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Fils A.
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Humbert U.[21]
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Djokovic N.[1]
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Mannarino A.[20]
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6-43-65-76-36-0
Munar J.
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Oconnell C.
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Shelton B.[16]
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6-27-627-5
Gaston H.
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De Jong J.
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Galan D.
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Tiafoe F.[17]
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Mochizuki S.
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Arnaldi M.
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Halys Q.
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Rune H.[8]
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Dimitrov G.[13]
Fucsovics M.
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Borges N.
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7-57-636-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Lestienne C.
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Thiem D.
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Grenier H.
Muller A.
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Ruusuvuori E.
Kypson P.
4-66-36-47-64
Zverev A.[6]
Koepfer D.
4-66-37-636-3
Michelsen A.
Mccabe J.
7-653-66-16-2
Paul T.[14]
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Draper J.
Giron M.
6-43-64-66-06-2
Kecmanovic M.
Watanuki Y.
4-67-56-36-4
Sonego L.
Evans D.
4-67-686-27-64
Kokkinakis T.
Ofner S.
7-612-66-746-17-68
Cerundolo F.[22]
Sweeny D.
3-66-36-42-66-2
Fritz T.[12]
Diaz Acosta F.
4-66-33-66-26-4
Rublev A.[5]
Seyboth Wild T.
7-56-43-64-67-66
Klein L.
Kwon S.
7-604-67-636-3
Eubanks C.
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6-46-26-3
Cazaux A.
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6-26-736-23-66-2
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Alcaraz C.[2]
Gasquet R.
7-656-16-2