Brandon Nakashima vs Alejandro TabiloDavis Cup Finals RR: USA vs CHI Round Robin

Davis Cup Finals RR: USA vs CHI · ATP · Round Robin
#32ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 11 September 2024
hard
#31ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
Nakashima B.
7-6 2-6 7-6
Tabilo A.
Nakashima B.
772772
Tabilo A.
656631

Brandon Nakashima defeated Alejandro Tabilo 7-6 2-6 7-6 in the Davis Cup Finals RR: USA vs CHI round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Tabilo came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Brandon Nakashima claimed a first win over Alejandro Tabilo in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-17ChengduSFhardAlejandro Tabilo6-4 7-6(0)
2024-03-18Miami MastersR128hardAlejandro Tabilo6-4 3-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Tabilo A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Tabilo A.
61
Serve
51
23
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
51%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Even
66%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.6
6.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (176 vs 152). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
74
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Dominant
13
59
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 30 days (−0.3)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 30 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
5.1+38 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1750
4.5Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1819
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.8
Surface form
5.3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
98

Nakashima B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Tabilo A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About