Alejandro Tabilo vs Brandon Nakashima — Miami Masters Round of 128

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 128
Alejandro Tabilo
CHI
Alejandro Tabilo
#33ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 18 March 2024
hard
Brandon Nakashima
USA
Brandon Nakashima
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Tabilo A.
6-4 3-6 6-3
Nakashima B.
Tabilo A.
6362
Nakashima B.
4631

Alejandro Tabilo defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-4 3-6 6-3 in the Miami Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, defending last year's round of 64. Alejandro Tabilo extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-17ChengduSFhardAlejandro Tabilo6-4 7-6(0)
2024-09-11Davis Cup Finals RR: USA vs CHIRRhardBrandon Nakashima7-6(5) 2-6 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Tabilo A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tabilo A.Nakashima B.
51
Serve
61
10
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Tabilo A.Nakashima B.
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
55%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.8
8.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (152 vs 176). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Tabilo A.Nakashima B.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
74
56
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Dominant
59
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
56
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tabilo A.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Nakashima B.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1750
Surface ELO
5.1+38 Hard Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1819
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1839
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
6.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
7.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
6.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tabilo A.Nakashima B.
Freshness·Slight edge
97
86

Tabilo A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Dimitrov G.[11]
6-36-1
Semi-finals
Dimitrov G.[11]
Zverev A.[4]
6-46-746-4
Sinner J.[2]
Medvedev D.[3]
6-16-2
Quarter-finals
Medvedev D.[3]
Jarry N.[22]
6-27-67
Dimitrov G.[11]
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[2]
Machac T.
6-46-2
Zverev A.[4]
Marozsan F.
6-37-5
R16
Alcaraz C.[1]
Musetti L.[23]
6-36-3
Dimitrov G.[11]
Hurkacz H.[8]
3-66-37-63
Medvedev D.[3]
Koepfer D.
7-656-0
Marozsan F.
De Minaur A.[9]
6-40-66-1
Jarry N.[22]
Ruud C.[7]
7-636-3
Machac T.
Arnaldi M.
6-36-3
Sinner J.[2]
Oconnell C.
6-46-3
Zverev A.[4]
Khachanov K.[15]
6-16-4
R32
Alcaraz C.[1]
Monfils G.
6-26-4
Oconnell C.
Damm M.
7-657-65
Koepfer D.
Humbert U.[14]
3-66-46-3
Machac T.
Murray A.
5-77-57-65
Dimitrov G.[11]
Hanfmann Y.
6-16-0
Zverev A.[4]
Eubanks C.[31]
7-646-3
Khachanov K.[15]
Cerundolo F.[20]
6-15-77-65
De Minaur A.[9]
Struff J.[24]
7-636-4
Marozsan F.
Popyrin A.
7-56-3
Ruud C.[7]
Davidovich Fokina A.[27]
6-36-4
Jarry N.[22]
Seyboth Wild T.
6-717-56-3
Medvedev D.[3]
Norrie C.[30]
7-56-1
Arnaldi M.
Shapovalov D.
6-37-67
Sinner J.[2]
Griekspoor T.[25]
5-77-56-1
Hurkacz H.[8]
Korda S.[28]
7-656-756-3
Musetti L.[23]
Shelton B.[16]
6-47-65
R64
Alcaraz C.[1]
Carballes Baena R.
6-26-1
Monfils G.
Thompson J.[33]
6-736-16-2
Dimitrov G.[11]
Tabilo A.
6-757-656-2
Eubanks C.[31]
Evans D.
7-633-67-67
Cerundolo F.[20]
Ofner S.
7-626-726-1
Khachanov K.[15]
Djere L.
6-26-4
Struff J.[24]
Altmaier D.
6-36-3
Marozsan F.
Rune H.[6]
6-16-1
Ruud C.[7]
Van Assche L.
7-651-66-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[27]
Shang J.
6-37-5
Jarry N.[22]
Draper J.
7-654-67-62
Damm M.
Paul T.[13]
4-62-1
De Minaur A.[9]
Kwon S.
6-36-2
Shapovalov D.
Tsitsipas S.[10]
6-26-4
Machac T.
Rublev A.[5]
6-46-4
Oconnell C.
Tiafoe F.[21]
7-57-65
Hanfmann Y.
Mannarino A.[19]
3-67-616-4
Korda S.[28]
Bautista Agut R.
6-726-36-4
Hurkacz H.[8]
Shevchenko A.
6-46-726-3
Zverev A.[4]
Auger Aliassime F.
6-26-4
Popyrin A.
Lehecka J.[26]
6-46-4
Seyboth Wild T.
Fritz T.[12]
6-36-4
Humbert U.[14]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-46-3
Koepfer D.
Baez S.[18]
6-36-2
Norrie C.[30]
Cobolli F.
7-56-746-2
Medvedev D.[3]
Fucsovics M.
6-46-2
Murray A.
Etcheverry T.[29]
7-606-3
Arnaldi M.
Bublik A.[17]
6-46-1
Griekspoor T.[25]
Michelsen A.
7-656-776-4
Sinner J.[2]
Vavassori A.
6-36-4
Shelton B.[16]
Landaluce M.
6-36-4
Musetti L.[23]
Safiullin R.
7-56-1
R128
Safiullin R.
Schwartzman D.
6-26-4
Bautista Agut R.
Nava E.
6-37-64
Damm M.
Zhang Z.
7-627-63
Michelsen A.
Klein L.
7-656-2
Fucsovics M.
Purcell M.
6-26-1
Cobolli F.
Nishioka Y.
1-66-16-4
Shevchenko A.
Galan D.
6-747-647-5
Carballes Baena R.
Vukic A.
7-626-3
Monfils G.
Lajovic D.
7-656-4
Landaluce M.
Munar J.
6-31-67-5
Tabilo A.
Nakashima B.
6-43-66-3
Hanfmann Y.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-44-66-4
Auger Aliassime F.
Walton A.
7-56-4
Evans D.
Sonego L.
1-66-36-4
Djere L.
Wong C.
7-57-63
Kwon S.
Muller A.
7-636-3
Altmaier D.
Mayot H.
6-27-5
Popyrin A.
Diaz Acosta F.
6-26-2
Marozsan F.
Kovacevic A.
6-36-2
Van Assche L.
Kotov P.
6-37-5
Shang J.
Kecmanovic M.
7-654-67-65
Draper J.
Daniel T.
6-36-2
Seyboth Wild T.
Borges N.
6-47-5
Koepfer D.
Giron M.
4-66-16-4
Machac T.
Blanch D.
6-46-2
Murray A.
Berrettini M.
4-66-36-4
Arnaldi M.
Fils A.
6-36-4
Shapovalov D.
Darderi L.
6-36-736-4
Oconnell C.
Kopriva V.
6-26-4
Vavassori A.
Cachin P.
6-26-2
Ofner S.
Nishikori K.
6-36-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Hijikata R.
7-57-63