Tatjana Maria vs Alexandra Eala — Guadalajara 125 Round of 16

Guadalajara 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Tatjana Maria
GER
Tatjana Maria
#76WTA
1703ELO
1608Hard ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 September 2024
hard
Alexandra Eala
PHI
Alexandra Eala
#28WTA
1895ELO
1833Hard ELO
$871kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
Maria T.
7-5 6-2
Eala A.
Maria T.
762
Eala A.
52–

Tatjana Maria defeated Alexandra Eala 7-5 6-2 in the Guadalajara 125 round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexandra Eala came in ranked #28. Tatjana Maria extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Tatjana Maria closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

3–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-18GuangzhouR32hardTatjana Maria6-3 6-0
2023-04-24MadridR128clayTatjana Maria6-1 6-1
2023-01-30Hua HinR32hardTatjana Maria6-2 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Maria T.serving51% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Eala A.

Eala A.serving61% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Maria T.Eala A.
9
Serve
20
13
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Maria T.Eala A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Even
50%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (133 vs 129). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Maria T.Eala A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
13
77
Break points saved·Dominant
31
75
Break points won·Clear edge
78
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
9
82
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
58
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Maria T.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Eala A.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.0Hard Elo 1608
Surface ELO
8.0+224 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1703
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1895
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.0
Surface form
6.4
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Maria T.Eala A.
Freshness·Clear edge
70
86

Maria T.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 81 games (7d) · Eala A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Rakhimova K.
Maria T.
6-36-756-3
Semi-finals
Maria T.
Schmiedlova A.
6-06-2
Rakhimova K.
Arango E.
6-46-2
Quarter-finals
Schmiedlova A.
Bektas E.
6-36-2
Maria T.
Gadecki O.
7-56-0
Arango E.
Marino R.
6-35-77-5
Rakhimova K.
Trevisan M.
6-13-1
R16
Schmiedlova A.
Birrell K.
6-26-3
Bektas E.
Pavlou D.
6-16-1
Maria T.
Eala A.
7-56-2
Gadecki O.
Stefanini L.
6-14-66-4
Arango E.
Mandlik E.
6-43-66-2
Marino R.
Sharma A.
6-37-69
Rakhimova K.
Preston T.
6-16-2
Trevisan M.
Krunic A.
6-36-3
R32
Arango E.
Guadiana Campos A.
6-06-1
Sharma A.
Sanchez A.
6-36-3
Marino R.
Zarazua R.
6-46-2
Rakhimova K.
Murray S.
6-36-0
Preston T.
Chong E.
6-36-2
Krunic A.
Stakusic M.
6-07-65
Trevisan M.
Savinykh V.
3-66-46-2
Schmiedlova A.
Garcia Ruiz J.
4-66-26-0
Birrell K.
Konjuh A.
6-27-5
Pavlou D.
Strakhova V.
6-16-2
Bektas E.
Arconada U.
6-787-666-1
Maria T.
Day K.
7-676-4
Eala A.
Hu V.
3-67-626-4
Stefanini L.
Vickery S.
6-16-1
Gadecki O.
Riera J.
6-46-2
Mandlik E.
Joint M.
6-46-3