Tatjana Maria vs Alexandra EalaGuangzhou Round of 32

Guangzhou · WTA · Round of 32
#76WTA
1703ELO
1608Hard ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 September 2023
hard
#28WTA
1895ELO
1833Hard ELO
$871kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
Maria T.
6-3 6-0
Eala A.
Maria T.
662
Eala A.
300

Tatjana Maria defeated Alexandra Eala 6-3 6-0 in the Guangzhou round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexandra Eala came in ranked #28. Tatjana Maria extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-04-24MadridR128clayTatjana Maria6-1 6-1
2023-01-30Hua HinR32hardTatjana Maria6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Maria T.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Eala A.

Eala A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Maria T.Eala A.
9
Serve
20
13
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
50%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (195 vs 144). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
13
77
Break points saved·Dominant
31
75
Break points won·Clear edge
78
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
9
82
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
58
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
2.0Hard Elo 1608
Surface ELO
8.0+224 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1703
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1895
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.7
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
9.3
7.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
86

Maria T.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 81 games (7d) · Eala A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast