Elise Mertens vs Madison Keys — US Open Round of 32
US Open · WTA · Round of 32
#24WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 30 August 2024 ·
hard
USA#23WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Mertens E.6-7 7-5 6-4
Keys M.
Mertens E.
65762
Keys M.
77541
Elise Mertens defeated Madison Keys 6-7 7-5 6-4 in the US Open round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 7–2, defending last year's semi-final. Elise Mertens narrowed the head-to-head to 7–3.
Key context
- Match story: Elise Mertens dropped the opening set before beating Madison Keys 6–7 7–5 6–4.
Head to head
2–7| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-10 | Indian Wells | R32 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-2 6-7(8) 6-4 |
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells | R32 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-2 6-7 6-4 |
| 2024-08-26 | US Open | R32 | hard | Elise Mertens | 6-7 7-5 6-4 |
| 2023-08-14 | Cincinnati | R64 | hard | Elise Mertens | 6-3 3-6 6-3 |
| 2021-07-02 | Wimbledon | R32 | grass | Madison Keys | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | R32 | grass | Madison Keys | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2019-01-19 | Australian Open | R32 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2019-01-14 | Australian Open | R32 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2017-08-28 | US Open | R128 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 7-6 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
59%
Aces / match·Even
4.1
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
3.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 101). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Dominant
45
88
Break points saved·Dominant
27
76
Break points won·Slight edge
93
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
48
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
48
93
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Even
100
100
Mertens E.: 18 days rest · Keys M.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast