Elise Mertens vs Madison Keys — US Open Round of 32

US Open · WTA · Round of 32
Elise Mertens
BEL
Elise Mertens
#27WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 26 August 2024
hard
Madison Keys
USA
Madison Keys
#22WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Mertens E.
6-7 7-5 6-4
Keys M.
Mertens E.
65762
Keys M.
77541

Elise Mertens defeated Madison Keys 6-7 7-5 6-4 in the US Open round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's semi-final. Elise Mertens narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian WellsR32hardMadison Keys6-2 6-7(8) 6-4
2023-08-14CincinnatiR64hardElise Mertens6-3 3-6 6-3
2021-06-28WimbledonR32grassMadison Keys7-5 6-3
2019-01-14Australian OpenR32hardMadison Keys6-3 6-2
2017-08-28US OpenR128hardMadison Keys6-3 7-6(6)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Mertens E.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mertens E.Keys M.
51
Serve
36
54
Return
29

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Mertens E.Keys M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Even
4.1
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 105). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mertens E.Keys M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
80
94
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
96
Break points won·Slight edge
96
90
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Mertens E.Keys M.
Freshness·Even
74
77

Mertens E.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Keys M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.
Pegula J.
7-57-5
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.
Navarro E.
6-37-62
Pegula J.
Muchova K.
1-66-46-2
Quarter-finals
Pegula J.
Swiatek I.
6-26-4
Sabalenka A.
Zheng Q.
6-16-2
Navarro E.
Badosa P.
6-27-5
Muchova K.
Haddad Maia B.
6-16-4
R16
Pegula J.
Shnaider D.
6-46-2
Swiatek I.
Samsonova L.
6-46-1
Haddad Maia B.
Wozniacki C.
6-23-66-3
Muchova K.
Paolini J.
6-36-3
Navarro E.
Gauff C.
6-34-66-3
Sabalenka A.
Mertens E.
6-26-4
Zheng Q.
Vekic D.
7-624-66-2
Badosa P.
Wang Y.
6-16-2
R32
Wang Y.
Azarenka V.
6-43-66-1
Gauff C.
Svitolina E.
3-66-36-3
Navarro E.
Kostyuk M.
6-44-66-3
Shnaider D.
Errani S.
6-26-2
Haddad Maia B.
Kalinskaya A.
6-36-1
Muchova K.
Potapova A.
6-46-2
Paolini J.
Putintseva Y.
6-36-4
Badosa P.
Ruse E.
4-66-17-68
Swiatek I.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-46-2
Mertens E.
Keys M.
6-757-56-4
Vekic D.
Stearns P.
7-56-4
Zheng Q.
Niemeier J.
6-26-1
Pegula J.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-36-3
Wozniacki C.
Ponchet J.
6-36-2
Sabalenka A.
Alexandrova E.
2-66-16-2
Samsonova L.
Krueger A.
6-16-1
R64
Ponchet J.
Rybakina E.
W/O
Paolini J.
Pliskova K.
RET
Samsonova L.
Bouzkova M.
3-67-616-3
Swiatek I.
Shibahara E.
6-06-1
Mertens E.
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-2
Kostyuk M.
Dart H.
7-6106-1
Navarro E.
Rus A.
6-16-1
Putintseva Y.
Wang X.
6-17-64
Krueger A.
Andreeva M.
6-16-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Cocciaretto E.
5-76-16-2
Muchova K.
Osaka N.
6-37-65
Potapova A.
Lepchenko V.
6-36-4
Shnaider D.
Tauson C.
6-46-4
Badosa P.
Townsend T.
6-37-5
Gauff C.
Maria T.
6-46-0
Ruse E.
Krejcikova B.
6-47-5
Azarenka V.
Burel C.
6-16-4
Niemeier J.
Uchijima M.
6-46-0
Errani S.
Dolehide C.
7-57-5
Zheng Q.
Andreeva E.
6-736-16-2
Svitolina E.
Kalinina A.
6-16-2
Wozniacki C.
Zarazua R.
6-36-3
Stearns P.
Kasatkina D.
6-17-63
Sabalenka A.
Bronzetti L.
6-36-1
Vekic D.
Minnen G.
7-56-1
Pegula J.
Kenin S.
7-646-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Boulter K.
7-57-5
Alexandrova E.
Jovic I.
4-66-47-5
Wang Y.
Parry D.
6-06-4
Haddad Maia B.
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-26-1
Kalinskaya A.
Bondar A.
6-26-4
Keys M.
Joint M.
6-46-0
R128
Stearns P.
Tsurenko L.
6-17-5
Minnen G.
Frech M.
7-57-5
Vekic D.
Birrell K.
6-46-4
Bronzetti L.
Sun L.
6-3
Kasatkina D.
Cristian J.
6-26-4
Keys M.
Siniakova K.
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.
Hon P.
6-36-3
Lepchenko V.
Fruhvirtova B.
2-1
Parry D.
Wang X.
7-627-65
Wang Y.
Sakkari M.
6-2
Uchijima M.
Korpatsch T.
3-66-36-4
Dolehide C.
Collins D.
1-67-56-4
Sorribes Tormo S.
Noel A.
6-16-3
Samsonova L.
Wang Q.
6-27-5
Rus A.
Bogdan A.
6-47-65
Niemeier J.
Yastremska D.
6-46-736-4
Tauson C.
Schmiedlova A.
1-67-656-2
Shnaider D.
Podoroska N.
6-06-1
Boulter K.
Sasnovich A.
5-76-26-1
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Martic P.
6-36-0
Haddad Maia B.
Avanesyan E.
4-66-06-2
Badosa P.
Golubic V.
6-06-3
Kalinskaya A.
Davis L.
6-26-2
Navarro E.
Blinkova A.
6-16-1
Dart H.
Paquet C.
6-16-2
Bondar A.
Pera B.
6-33-66-3
Swiatek I.
Rakhimova K.
6-47-66
Wang X.
Rodionova A.
3-66-46-1
Pliskova K.
Sherif M.
6-30-67-5
Paolini J.
Andreescu B.
6-756-26-4
Krejcikova B.
Bassols Ribera M.
7-636-2
Ruse E.
Grabher J.
6-26-4
Tomljanovic A.
Li A.
6-46-4
Joint M.
Siegemund L.
6-47-5
Azarenka V.
Starodubtseva Y.
3-66-16-1
Jovic I.
Linette M.
6-46-3
Alexandrova E.
Tomova V.
6-746-07-5
Mertens E.
Kudermetova V.
3-66-46-3
Kenin S.
Raducanu E.
6-13-66-4
Putintseva Y.
Noskova L.
7-636-4
Andreeva E.
Yuan Y.
6-37-67
Zheng Q.
Anisimova A.
4-66-46-2
Gauff C.
Gracheva V.
6-26-0
Maria T.
Sierra S.
6-26-3
Kalinina A.
Dodin O.
6-13-66-1
Svitolina E.
Carle M.
3-66-36-4
Shibahara E.
Saville D.
6-34-67-66
Cocciaretto E.
Baindl K.
6-36-0
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Preston T.
6-26-0
Andreeva M.
Osorio C.
6-27-64
Krueger A.
Zhang S.
0-66-17-5
Bouzkova M.
Lys E.
6-21-67-5
Errani S.
Bucsa C.
3-66-06-4
Pegula J.
Rogers S.
6-46-3
Rybakina E.
Aiava D.
6-17-61
Ponchet J.
Zheng S.
6-46-1
Wozniacki C.
Hibino N.
6-06-1
Zarazua R.
Garcia C.
6-16-4
Osaka N.
Ostapenko J.
6-36-2
Muchova K.
Volynets K.
6-37-5
Potapova A.
Fernandez L.
2-66-47-5
Townsend T.
Trevisan M.
6-27-5
Burel C.
Stephens S.
0-67-57-5
Kostyuk M.
Kessler M.
6-26-3